Match Info

Date: 28 April 2021, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Lornano Badesse		Montevarchi

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.2	2.1
	3.1	3.2	2.1
	3.05	3.15	2.15
	3.11	3.13	2.19
	3.1	2.9	2.25
	3.13	3.28	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.1 ↑ (2.31)	3.14 ↑ (3.1)	2.16 ↓ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lornano Badesse
29.2%

Draw
28.8%

Montevarchi
42%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.9%

29%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7%

21.4%

43.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lornano Badesse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lornano Badesse's form might have worsened.

Montevarchi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Montevarchi's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lornano Badesse than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montevarchi than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Lornano Badesse - Montevarchi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 13 in the zone Serie D to Group A and 2 in the zone Promotion to Serie D to Group A).

Lornano Badesse is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Montevarchi is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Lornano Badesse could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Montevarchi will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Lornano Badesse won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Lornano Badesse won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Lornano Badesse
Italian Serie D - Group E
21.04.21	Lornano Badesse - San Donato Tavarnelle	1:3 ✺
18.04.21	ACN Siena - Lornano Badesse	2:2 ✺
14.04.21	Lornano Badesse - Ostia Mare	2:2 ✺
11.04.21	Pianese - Lornano Badesse	2:2 ✺
07.04.21	Montespaccato - Lornano Badesse	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LTTTL
- Montevarchi Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group E
18.04.21	Trastevere - Montevarchi	2:2 ✺
14.04.21	Montevarchi - Foligno	3:0 ✺
10.04.21	Montevarchi - Trestina	3:3 ✺
01.04.21	Scandicci - Montevarchi	0:3 ✺
28.03.21	Montevarchi - Follonica Gavorrano	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group E
11.10.20	Montevarchi - Lornano Badesse	3:1

Lornano Badesse - Montevarchi

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Lornano Badesse - Montevarchi Predictions

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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