The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lornano Badesse 29.2%
Draw 28.8%
Montevarchi 42%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.9%
29%
32.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.7%
21.4%
43.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lornano Badesse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lornano Badesse's form might have worsened.
Montevarchi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Montevarchi's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lornano Badesse than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montevarchi than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
Lornano Badesse - Montevarchi Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 13 in the zone Serie D to Group A and 2 in the zone Promotion to Serie D to Group A).
Lornano Badesse is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Montevarchi is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Lornano Badesse could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Montevarchi will have a mini benefit in this match.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Lornano Badesse won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.
Including matches at home between the teams Lornano Badesse won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.