Match Info

MLS Next Pro

Date: 27 June 2026, Saturday

Location: Dignity Health Sports Park (Carson, CA)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	MLS Next Pro
World	Onefootball


	Ventura County		Real Monarchs

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.50	3.50	2.30
	2.38	3.65	2.52
	2.47	3.85	2.49
	2.55	3.59	2.5	Watch
	2.35	3.7	2.45
	2.54	3.74	2.44	Watch
	2.36	3.6	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↓ (2.55)	3.66 ↑ (3.45)	2.46 ↑ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ventura County
37.5%

Draw
25.1%

Real Monarchs
37.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.3%

26.1%

38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8%

25.8%

39.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ventura County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Real Monarchs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ventura County than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Monarchs than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Ventura County - Real Monarchs Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Conlon S. (C) 73. Martinez E. 64. Pepe 60. Hernandez S. 88. Vanney M. 90. Phan B. 87. Arnold G. 50. Dalgado R. 45. Garcia V. 57. Placias J. 76. Elgersma T.	99. Alphin R. (C) 41. Villa G. 76. O'Gara L. 55. Calderon G. 37. Rivera L. 88. Ream L. 30. Anderson O. 61. Amparo I. 34. Moisa L. 36. Barea J. 33. Parker V.
Substitutes
93. Aina O. 61. Gozdieski C. 92. Luna I. 94. McLean M. 75. Medina A. 83. Villatoro A. 91. Walker	44. Cowell C. 50. Djiro L. 47. Ewald F. 24. Kerkvliet M. (G) 64. Kropp D. 40. Marquez O. 79. Ottley J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
33', Martinez E. 🟨,
34', Rivera L. 🟨,
40', Pepe 🟨,
42', Anderson O. 🟨,
45', 0 - 1, Barea J. ⚽, Alphin R. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Barea J. ↓, Marquez O. ↑,
51', 1 - 1, Garcia V. ⚽, Placias J. (A),
71', 2 - 1, Placias J. ⚽, Hernandez S. (A),
74', Amparo I. ↓, Cowell C. ↑,
74', Alphin R. ↓, Kerkvliet M. ↑,
74', Ream L. ↓, Ewald F. ↑,
82', O'Gara L. 🟨,
82', Moisa L. ↓, Ottley J. ↑,
83', 3 - 1, Martinez E. ⚽, Arnold G. (A),
88', Garcia V. ↓, Medina A. ↑,
88', Placias J. ↓, Aina O. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ventura County won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Ventura County won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:9. (average 2.1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Ventura County won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:4. (average 2.8:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Real Monarchs - the odds 2.33 are the expected chance of winning is 38.62%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ventura County FC
MLS Next Pro
13.06.26	Ventura County - Colorado Rapids 2	1:2 penalties ✺
06.06.26	Ventura County - Houston Dynamo 2	3:1 ✺
30.05.26	Ventura County - Vancouver Whitecaps 2	2:1 ✺
22.05.26	Tacoma Defiance - Ventura County	1:0 ✺
16.05.26	Los Angeles 2 - Ventura County	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWWLL
- Real Monarchs SLC
MLS Next Pro
21.06.26	Tacoma Defiance - Real Monarchs	1:0 ✺
13.06.26	Real Monarchs - Portland Timbers 2	4:1 ✺
07.06.26	San Jose Earthquakes 2 - Real Monarchs	3:0 ✺
29.05.26	Real Monarchs - Sporting Kansas City II	1:3 ✺
24.05.26	Vancouver Whitecaps 2 - Real Monarchs	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

MLS Next Pro
12.04.26	Ventura County - Real Monarchs	2:0
14.09.25	Real Monarchs - Ventura County	2:1
01.06.25	Ventura County - Real Monarchs	4:3 penalties
06.04.25	Real Monarchs - Ventura County	1:2
06.10.24	Real Monarchs - Ventura County	2:1 penalties
25.08.24	Ventura County - Real Monarchs	3:1
19.05.24	Ventura County - Real Monarchs	2:0

Ventura County - Real Monarchs: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide