The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Real Monarchs 57.9%
Draw 22.3%
Sporting Kansas City II 19.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
56%
22.6%
21.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.1%
21.8%
20.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Monarchs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
Sporting Kansas City II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Monarchs than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Kansas City II than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
Real Monarchs - Sporting Kansas City II Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
99. Alphin R. (G) 41. Villa G. 64. Kropp D. 55. Calderon G. 77. Mesalles R. (C) 44. Cowell C. 61. Amparo I. 76. O'Gara L. 70. Lineker Rodrigues 33. Parker V. 47. Ewald F.
12. Kortkamp J. (C) 87. Francka J. 41. Lurot P. 54. Antongirolami L. 34. Russo D. 48. Mabie B. 88. Donovan S. 97. Derksen C. 96. Rodriguez M. 77. Hines K. 70. Haas T.
Substitutes
30. Anderson O. 50. Djiro L. 66. Estala C. 49. Ewing B. (G) 40. Marquez O. 79. Ottley J. 88. Ream L. 37. Rivera L. 80. Wentzel M.
66. Brooks E. 47. Burns T. 42. Cunningham A. 37. Ikoba T. 49. Lor T. 75. Loyo Reynaga Z. 91. Molinaro J. (G) 72. Wantland Z. 50. Worcester S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
6', Francka J. 🟨,
19', Derksen C. 🟨,
20', Lineker Rodrigues (Penalty Awarded),
32', 0 - 1, Hines K. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
50', Amparo I. 🟨,
59', Cowell C. ↓, Anderson O. ↑,
59', Kropp D. ↓, Marquez O. ↑,
68', Rodriguez M. ↓, Ikoba T. ↑,
68', Haas T. ↓, Loyo Reynaga Z. ↑,
72', Amparo I. ↓, Wentzel M. ↑,
72', Villa G. ↓, Ottley J. ↑,
73', 0 - 2, Ikoba T. ⚽, Donovan S. (A),
74', 1 - 2, Parker V. ⚽, Ewald F. (A),
82', Calderon G. 🟨,
83', 1 - 3, Ikoba T. ⚽, Donovan S. (A),
83', Russo D. ↓, Wantland Z. ↑,
85', Wentzel M. 🟨,
86', Calderon G. ↓, Ream L. ↑,
90+3', Ottley J. 🟨,
90+7', Hines K. ↓, Brooks E. ↑,
90+7', Derksen C. ↓, Lor T. ↑,
Preview
The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 10 and 12)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Monarchs won 3.
Real Monarchs has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Sporting KC II's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, Real Monarchs is considered a favorite.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Real Monarchs won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 25:18. (average 2.3:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Real Monarchs won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:7. (average 2.4:1.4).