Match Info

Leagues Cup - Round 2

Date: 3 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Dignity Health Sports Park (Carson, CA)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	MLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC
World	Apple TV


	Los Angeles Galaxy		Cruz Azul

	1	X	2
	2.7	4	2.25	Watch
	2.55	3.5	2.25
	2.72	3.8	2.25	Watch
	2.75	3.99	2.33
	2.96	4.11	2.07	Watch
	2.67	3.88	2.31	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↑ (2.53)	3.88 ↑ (3.66)	2.24 ↓ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Los Angeles Galaxy
34.3%

Draw
24.1%

Cruz Azul
41.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37%

25.7%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

25.3%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Los Angeles Galaxy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Cruz Azul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Los Angeles Galaxy than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cruz Azul than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	16.7%	0%

Los Angeles Galaxy - Cruz Azul Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. LA Galaxy will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. LA Galaxy (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Micovic N. (G) 2. Yamane M. 25. Garces C. 5. Zanka 3. Aude J. 6. Cerrillo E. 8. Sanabria L. 7. Fagundez D. 11. Gabriel Pec 18. Reus M. (C) 28. Paintsil J.	23. Mier K. (G) 4. Ditta W. 6. Lira E. 33. Piovi G. 8. Faravelli L. 15. Rivero I. 19. Rodriguez C. 20. Paradela J. 7. Bogusz M. 29. Rotondi C. 9. Sepulveda A.
Substitutes
27. Berry M. 19. Cuevas M. 21. Lepley T. 12. Marcinkowski J. (G) 9. Matheus Nascimento 77. McCarthy J. (G) 14. Nelson J. 16. Parente I. 17. Ramirez C. 22. Wynder E. 4. Yoshida M. 15. Zavaleta E.	3. Campos O. 17. Garcia A. 1. Gudino A. (G) 214. Levy M. 16. Marquez J. 194. Morales A. 30. Ochoa E. (G) 5. Orozco J. 18. Romero L. 25. Samano Salgado F. 2. Sanchez J. 193. Velazquez K.
Coaches
Vanney G.	Larcamon N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
14', Reus M. 🟨,
21', 0 - 1, Rodriguez C. ⚽, Rotondi C. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Sanabria L. ↓, Matheus Nascimento ↑,
47', Rivero I. 🟨,
65', Paradela J. ↓, Romero L. ↑,
66', Yamane M. ↓, Cuevas M. ↑,
70', Paintsil J. 🟨,
70', Lira E. 🟨,
72', Fagundez D. 🟨,
81', 1 - 1, Gabriel Pec ⚽, Cuevas M. (A),
82', Bogusz M. ↓, Marquez J. ↑,
82', Faravelli L. ↓, Orozco J. ↑,
82', Sepulveda A. ↓, Levy M. ↑,
84', Marquez J. 🟨,
85', Aude J. ↓, Nelson J. ↑,
85', Rotondi C. ↓, Campos O. ↑,
90', Zanka ↓, Yoshida M. ↑,
90+1', Yoshida M. 🟨,
90+3', Garces C. 🟨,
Penalties (7 - 8)
1, Reus M. (Pen),
1, Lira E. (Pen),
2, Gabriel Pec (Pen),
2, Rivero I. (Pen),
3, Matheus Nascimento (Pen),
3, Piovi G. (Pen),
4, Fagundez D. (Pen),
4, Rodriguez C. (Pen),
5, Paintsil J. (Pen),
5, Ditta W. (Pen),
6, Cuevas M. (Pen),
6, Marquez J. (Pen),
7, Nelson J. (Pen),
7, Romero L. (Pen),
8, Cerrillo E. (Pen),
8, Orozco J. (Pen),
9, Garces C. (Pen),
9, Levy M. (Pen),

Preview

LA Galaxy is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Cruz Azul has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Cruz Azul may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, LA Galaxy has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, LA Galaxy won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Los Angeles Galaxy
CONCACAF League Cup
31.07.25	Los Angeles Galaxy - Tijuana	5:2 ✺
MLS
19.07.25	Los Angeles - Los Angeles Galaxy	3:3 ✺
16.07.25	Los Angeles Galaxy - Austin FC	1:2 ✺
12.07.25	Los Angeles Galaxy - DC United	2:1 ✺
04.07.25	Los Angeles Galaxy - Vancouver Whitecaps	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 WTLWW
- Cruz Azul FC
CONCACAF League Cup
31.07.25	Cruz Azul - Seattle Sounders	0:7 ✺
Mexican Liga MX
26.07.25	Cruz Azul - Club León	4:1 ✺
19.07.25	Atlas - Cruz Azul	3:3 ✺
12.07.25	Cruz Azul - Mazatlan	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
06.07.25	Mazatlan - Cruz Azul	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LWTTL

Latest Head to Head

CONCACAF League Cup
20.08.19	Cruz Azul - Los Angeles Galaxy	2:1

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