Match Info

Leagues Cup - Round 1

Date: 31 July 2025, Thursday

Location: Lumen Field (Seattle, WA)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	TSN 1, TSN 5
Usa	Fox Sports 1, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, MLS Season Pass, TUDN App, TUDN, UniMas, Univision
World	Apple TV


	Cruz Azul		Seattle Sounders

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.6	3	Watch
	2.2	3.3	2.7
	2.22	3.55	2.92
	2.47	3.65	2.82
	2.50	3.50	2.64	Watch
	2.25	3.3	2.75
	2.19	3.66	3.02	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↓ (2.34)	3.51 ↓ (3.58)	2.84 ↓ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cruz Azul
40.6%

Draw
26.5%

Seattle Sounders
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.4%

26.4%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

28%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cruz Azul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Seattle Sounders has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruz Azul than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Seattle Sounders than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	30%	0%

Cruz Azul - Seattle Sounders Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Cruz Azul will win (votes: 7 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cruz Azul: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Cruz Azul (1.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Cruz Azul (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Cruz Azul will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Cruz Azul (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Mier K. (G) 4. Ditta W. 6. Lira E. 5. Orozco J. 2. Sanchez J. 8. Faravelli L. 15. Rivero I. 3. Campos O. 20. Paradela J. 19. Rodriguez C. 9. Sepulveda A.	26. Thomas A. (G) 16. Roldan A. 25. Ragen J. 28. Gomez Andrade Y. 5. Nouhou 7. Roldan C. 18. Vargas O. 9. Ferreira J. 11. Rusnak A. 77. Kent R. 17. Musovski D.
Substitutes
7. Bogusz M. 17. Garcia A. 1. Gudino A. (G) 214. Levy M. 16. Marquez J. 194. Morales A. 30. Ochoa E. (G) 18. Romero L. 29. Rotondi C. 25. Samano Salgado F. 26. Vargas C. 193. Velazquez K.	21. Baker-Whiting R. 15. Bell J. 37. Brunell S. 29. Castro J. (G) 10. de La Vega P. 95. De Rosario O. 20. Kim Kee-Hee 85. Kossa-Rienzi K. 75. Leyva D. 93. Minoungou G. 14. Rothrock P. 41. Shour M. (G)
Coaches
Larcamon N.	Schmetzer B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Musovski D. 🟨,
32', Ditta W. 🟨,
41', Rivero I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 7)
48', 0 - 1, Gomez Andrade Y. ⚽, Rusnak A. (A),
50', 0 - 2, Vargas O. ⚽, Roldan A. (A),
59', 0 - 3, Ferreira J. ⚽, Roldan C. (A),
60', Campos O. ↓, Rotondi C. ↑,
65', Paradela J. 🟨,
66', Gomez Andrade Y. ↓, Kim Kee-Hee ↑,
66', Musovski D. ↓, De Rosario O. ↑,
70', 0 - 4, De Rosario O. ⚽, Kent R. (A),
71', De Rosario O. 🟨,
72', Sanchez J. ↓, Bogusz M. ↑,
72', Faravelli L. ↓, Marquez J. ↑,
73', Kent R. ↓, de La Vega P. ↑,
73', Rusnak A. ↓, Leyva D. ↑,
77', 0 - 5, de La Vega P. ⚽, Ferreira J. (A),
81', Roldan C. ↓, Brunell S. ↑,
83', Paradela J. ↓, Romero L. ↑,
83', Sepulveda A. ↓, Levy M. ↑,
89', 0 - 6, Nouhou ⚽,
90+1', 0 - 7, de La Vega P. ⚽, Roldan A. (A),

Preview

In recent matches, Cruz Azul has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Seattle is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Cruz Azul won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Cruz Azul won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Cruz Azul - the odds 2.34 are the expected chance of winning is 40.39%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Seattle Sounders - the odds 2.84 are the expected chance of winning is 33.22%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cruz Azul FC
Mexican Liga MX
26.07.25	Cruz Azul - Club León	4:1 ✺
19.07.25	Atlas - Cruz Azul	3:3 ✺
12.07.25	Cruz Azul - Mazatlan	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
06.07.25	Mazatlan - Cruz Azul	2:1 ✺
03.07.25	Cruz Azul - Once Caldas	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WTTLW
- Seattle Sounders FC
MLS
26.07.25	Atlanta United - Seattle Sounders	2:2 ✺
19.07.25	Seattle Sounders - San Jose Earthquakes	3:2 ✺
16.07.25	Seattle Sounders - Colorado Rapids	3:3 ✺
12.07.25	Sporting Kansas City - Seattle Sounders	2:3 ✺
06.07.25	Seattle Sounders - Columbus Crew	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TWTWT

Latest Head to Head

CONCACAF Champions Cup
11.03.25	Cruz Azul - Seattle Sounders	4:1
05.03.25	Seattle Sounders - Cruz Azul	0:0

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