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Current Win Probability
Los Angeles Galaxy 51.9%
Draw 24%
New York Red Bulls 24.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
59%
21.7%
19.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61.6%
20.8%
18.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Los Angeles Galaxy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Los Angeles Galaxy's form might have worsened.
New York Red Bulls has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Los Angeles Galaxy than the current prediction. (+9.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Los Angeles Galaxy, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York Red Bulls than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for New York Red Bulls, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
63.6%
27.3%
9.1%
Los Angeles Galaxy - New York Red Bulls Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. LA Galaxy will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). NY Red Bulls will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for LA Galaxy: 35.2% – 92%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
77. McCarthy J. (G) 2. Yamane M. 25. Garces C. 4. Yoshida M. (C) 14. Nelson J. 8. Delgado M. 20. Cerrillo E. 5. Brugman G. 11. Gabriel Pec 9. Joveljic D. 28. Paintsil J.
31. Carlos Coronel (G) 12. Nealis D. 4. Reyes A. 15. Nealis S. 17. Harper C. 75. Edelman D. 5. Stroud P. 47. Tolkin J. 10. Forsberg E. (C) 13. Vanzeir D. 9. Morgan L.
Substitutes
3. Aude J. 27. Berry M. 19. Cuevas M. 7. Fagundez D. 35. Micovic N. (G) 24. Neal J. 52. Parente I. 18. Reus M. 15. Zavaleta E.
7. Burke C. 19. Carmona W. 48. Donkor R. 3. Eile N. 11. Elias Manoel 2. Gjengaar D. 16. Hall J. 18. Meara R. (G) 22. Ngoma S.
Coaches
Vanney G.
Schwarz S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
9', 1 - 0, Paintsil J. ⚽, Brugman G. (A), Cerrillo E. (A2)
13', 2 - 0, Joveljic D. ⚽, Delgado M. (A),
28', 2 - 1, Nealis S. ⚽,
35', Eile N. 🟨,
38', Delgado M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
65', Stroud P. ↓, Donkor R. ↑,
65', Vanzeir D. ↓, Elias Manoel ↑,
71', Harper C. 🟨,
75', Brugman G. ↓, Reus M. ↑,
78', Joveljic D. ↓, Fagundez D. ↑,
84', Nealis D. ↓, Burke C. ↑,
84', Edelman D. ↓, Carmona W. ↑,
90+4', Paintsil J. ↓, Neal J. ↑,
Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches LA Galaxy won 3.
At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.
In this match LA Galaxy is a favorite.
There will not play in LA Galaxy: Caceres M.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Puig R.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in NY Red Bulls: Carballo F.
(Foot Injury)
Mitchell R.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in NY Red Bulls: Duncan K.
(Knee Injury)
Our prediction for today's LA Galaxy to win the game is with odds 1.79.
Last 10 head-to-head matches LA Galaxy won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 19:14 (average 1.9:1.4).
Including matches at home between the teams LA Galaxy won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13:8 (average 2.2:1.3).