Match Info

MLS

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: ScottsMiracle-Gro Field (Columbus, OH)

Referee: Touchan R. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	MLS Season Pass, SportsEngine Play
World	Apple TV International


	Columbus Crew		New York Red Bulls

	1	X	2
	1.68	4.33	4	Watch
	1.77	4.20	3.75
	1.78	4.15	3.95
	1.81	4.46	3.95
	1.82	4.26	3.73	Watch
	1.75	4.35	3.85
	1.8	4.47	3.99	Watch
	1.76	4.1	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (1.88)	4.29 ↑ (4.1)	3.88 ↑ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Columbus Crew
53.5%

Draw
22.1%

New York Red Bulls
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

22.8%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6%

22.4%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Columbus Crew has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

New York Red Bulls has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Columbus Crew than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York Red Bulls than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	28.6%	0%

Columbus Crew - New York Red Bulls Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Columbus will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Columbus (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Schulte P. (G) 31. Moreira S. 25. Zawadzki S. (C) 18. Amundsen M. 26. Giaccone L. 50. Karumanchi T. 20. Gomes A. 11. Lennon B. 10. Mendez B. 33. Tapia G. 8. Rodriguez S.	34. Horvath E. (G) 12. Nealis D. (C) 14. Bazan J. 26. Parker T. 56. Dos Santos M. 48. Donkor R. 15. Mehmeti A. 37. Sofo M. 17. Harper C. 16. Hall J. 11. Ruvalcaba J.
Substitutes
3. Bailly E. 24. Bush E. (G) 7. Chambost D. 16. Habroune T. 1. Hagen N. (G) 77. Martinez J. 12. Ruvalcaba C. 14. Sejdic A. 19. Thiare J.	13. Choupo-Moting E. M. 7. Cowell C. 10. Forsberg E. 60. Kone S. 77. McCarthy J. (G) 92. Nelich D. 59. Padelford D. 8. Ruiz D. 6. Voloder R.
Coaches
Courtois L.	Bradley M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
66', Dos Santos M. ↓, Padelford D. ↑,
66', Ruvalcaba J. ↓, Cowell C. ↑,
69', Donkor R. 🟨,
70', Rodriguez S. 🟨,
71', Tapia G. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
74', Sofo M. 🟨,
75', Rodriguez S. ↓, Habroune T. ↑,
80', Mehmeti A. ↓, Ruiz D. ↑,
80', Hall J. ↓, Choupo-Moting E. M. ↑,
83', Gomes A. ↓, Chambost D. ↑,
83', Giaccone L. ↓, Thiare J. ↑,
89', 0 - 1, Donkor R. ⚽, Harper C. (A),
90', Harper C. ↓, Nelich D. ↑,
90+2', Moreira S. 🟨,
90+8', 🟨,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 13 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Columbus won 1.

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

In this match, Columbus is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Columbus: Abou Ali W. (Knee Injury) Bangoura S. (Ankle Injury) Camacho R. (Foot Injury)

There will not play in NY Red Bulls: Donkor R. (Yellow Cards) Marcucci A. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Columbus: Rodriguez S. (Injury)

There are questionable in NY Red Bulls: Mehmeti A. (Injury) Mosquera R. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Columbus won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 32:28. (average 1.6:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Columbus won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:10. (average 1.9:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Columbus Crew - the odds 1.88 are the expected chance of winning is 49.71%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

New York Red Bulls - the odds 3.4 are the expected chance of winning is 27.49%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Columbus Crew
MLS
09.09.26	DC United - Columbus Crew	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Columbus Crew - Colorado Rapids	3:0 ✺
30.08.26	Columbus Crew - New England Revolution	1:3 ✺
CONCACAF League Cup
26.08.26	Club América - Columbus Crew	2:0 ✺
MLS
22.08.26	Nashville SC - Columbus Crew	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWLLL
- New York Red Bulls
MLS
09.09.26	Los Angeles - New York Red Bulls	2:0 ✺
05.09.26	Seattle Sounders - New York Red Bulls	0:0 ✺
29.08.26	New York Red Bulls - Philadelphia Union	1:3 ✺
22.08.26	New York Red Bulls - Chicago Fire	1:1 ✺
19.08.26	New York Red Bulls - Nashville SC	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LTLTL

Latest Head to Head

MLS
13.05.26	New York Red Bulls - Columbus Crew	3:2
18.10.25	Columbus Crew - New York Red Bulls	3:1
30.08.25	New York Red Bulls - Columbus Crew	0:0
03.11.24	New York Red Bulls - Columbus Crew	3:2 penalties
29.10.24	Columbus Crew - New York Red Bulls	0:1
19.10.24	New York Red Bulls - Columbus Crew	2:3
16.03.24	Columbus Crew - New York Red Bulls	3:0

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