Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 10 - ROUND 12

Date: 3 December 2022, Saturday


	Puente Genil		Conil

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.2	4.2
	1.78	3.1	3.8
	1.7	3.25	4.3
	1.68	3.35	4.59
	1.72	3.4	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.75)	3.26 ↑ (3.09)	4.28 ↑ (3.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Puente Genil
51.7%

Draw
27.4%

Conil
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.6%

28.1%

22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1%

26.2%

20.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Puente Genil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Conil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puente Genil than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Conil than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Puente Genil - Conil Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 10 (Play Offs) and 10).

Puente Genil is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Conil is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Puente Genil could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Puente Genil is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Puente Genil won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Puente Genil won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Puente Genil FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
27.11.22	Bollullos - Puente Genil	3:3 ✺
20.11.22	Puente Genil - Antoniano	2:2 ✺
06.11.22	Cartaya - Puente Genil	1:1 ✺
30.10.22	Puente Genil - Rota	2:0 ✺
16.10.22	Puente Genil - Ayamonte	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TTTWW
- Conil CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
20.11.22	Conil - Ciudad de Lucena	1:0 ✺
06.11.22	Bollullos - Conil	0:0 ✺
30.10.22	Conil - Antoniano	1:1 ✺
23.10.22	Cartaya - Conil	2:2 ✺
16.10.22	Conil - Rota	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 WTTTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
23.12.21	Puente Genil - Conil	1:0
18.01.20	Conil - Puente Genil	2:2
22.12.18	Conil - Puente Genil	2:2

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