Match Info

Date: 7 December 2020, Monday


	Los Chankas		Molinos El Pirata

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.7	1.65
	4.4	3.75	1.55
	5.2	3.7	1.5
	4.59	4.03	1.67
	4.6	3.6	1.62
	4.7	3.8	1.65	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.64 ↓ (4.9)	3.76 ↓ (3.85)	1.61 ↓ (1.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Los Chankas
19.5%

Draw
24.1%

Molinos El Pirata
56.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.9%

24%

57.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.3%

19.5%

70.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Los Chankas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Molinos El Pirata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Los Chankas than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Molinos El Pirata than the current prediction. (+14%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Molinos El Pirata could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Los Chankas - Molinos El Pirata Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Neutral location. No spectators.

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 10 and 5).

Cultural Santa Rosa is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Molinos El Pirata is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Molinos El Pirata is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Los Chankas
Peruvian Liga 2
02.12.20	Unión Huaral - Los Chankas	3:0 ✺
26.11.20	Unión Comercio - Los Chankas	2:1 ✺
17.11.20	Los Chankas - Comerciantes Unidos	1:0 ✺
11.11.20	Juan Aurich - Los Chankas	0:0 ✺
04.11.20	Los Chankas - Alianza Atlético	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LLWTL
- Molinos El Pirata
Peruvian Liga 2
02.12.20	Molinos El Pirata - Chavelines Juniors	1:1 ✺
26.11.20	Juan Aurich - Molinos El Pirata	0:1 ✺
18.11.20	Molinos El Pirata - Alianza Atlético	1:2 ✺
11.11.20	Unión Huaral - Molinos El Pirata	5:5 ✺
05.11.20	Molinos El Pirata - Deportivo Coopsol	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TWLTL

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