Match Info

PERU: LIGA 2 - ROUND 22

Date: 30 August 2023, Wednesday


	Juan Aurich		Los Chankas

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.46	3.6
	1.88	3.1	3.9
	1.9	3.52	3.62
	2.31	3.3	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.65)	3.35 ↑ (3.29)	3.46 ↑ (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juan Aurich
46.1%

Draw
27.4%

Los Chankas
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

27.4%

38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7%

27.1%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juan Aurich has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Juan Aurich's performance.

Los Chankas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Los Chankas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juan Aurich than the current prediction. (-12.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Juan Aurich that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Los Chankas than the current prediction. (+12.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Los Chankas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	5.6%	50%

Juan Aurich - Los Chankas Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Juan Aurich will win (votes: 8 - 44.4%). Los Chankas will win (votes: 9 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Los Chankas: 26.9% – 73.1%.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Quiroz R. (G) 25. Alfani R. 11. Almircar Rai C. C. 6. Carrillo L. 7. Chavez N. 27. Lopez A. 10. Lugo K. (C) 20. Perez F. 13. Reyes O. 9. Rivas C. 33. Rodriguez Carreno D. A.	1. Sotillo M. (C) 7. Benites A. 17. Casquete A. 15. Chavez A. 5. Diez P. 2. Gamarra C. 29. Labrin V. 11. Lopez C. 16. Martinez J. 4. Mogollon E. 25. Ramos L.
Substitutes
22. Cieza C. 23. Diaz L. 29. Guevara A. 26. Guidino Otero J. A. 24. Larrea F. (G) 19. Malpartida M. 21. Salcedo J.	13. Huachuhuillca Y. 12. Izaguirre P. (G) 26. Rodriguez J. 19. Soto J. 18. Takeuchi O. 23. Vasquez J. 24. Vega N.

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Juan Aurich won 2.

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Juan Aurich won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 11-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Juan Aurich won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juan Aurich
Peruvian Liga 2
23.08.23	Carlos Stein - Juan Aurich	1:1 ✺
16.08.23	Juan Aurich - Comerciantes Unidos	1:0 ✺
10.08.23	Universidad San Martín - Juan Aurich	0:1 ✺
02.08.23	Juan Aurich - Deportivo Coopsol	1:1 ✺
29.07.23	Juan Aurich - Pirata	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 TWWTT
- CD Los Chankas
Peruvian Liga 2
23.08.23	Los Chankas - Comerciantes Unidos	2:1 ✺
16.08.23	Deportivo Coopsol - Los Chankas	0:2 ✺
09.08.23	Los Chankas - Deportivo Llacuabamba	5:0 ✺
03.08.23	Santos - Los Chankas	1:0 ✺
30.07.23	Los Chankas - Alfonso Ugarte de Puno	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 2
04.06.23	Los Chankas - Juan Aurich	2:0
17.07.22	Los Chankas - Juan Aurich	4:0
17.04.22	Juan Aurich - Los Chankas	4:2
31.08.21	Juan Aurich - Los Chankas	1:1
02.07.21	Los Chankas - Juan Aurich	3:4
11.11.20	Juan Aurich - Los Chankas	0:0
29.09.19	Los Chankas - Juan Aurich	1:0

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