Match Info

PERU: LIGA 2 - ROUND 25

Date: 20 September 2023, Wednesday


	Unión Huaral		Los Chankas

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.5	1.7	Watch
	4.21	3.71	1.67
	3.7	3.6	1.8
	4.5	3.68	1.69
	4	3.45	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.18 ↑ (2.91)	3.59 ↑ (3.46)	1.72 ↓ (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unión Huaral
21.7%

Draw
25.3%

Los Chankas
52.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.1%

26.1%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7%

25.7%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unión Huaral has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Unión Huaral's form might have worsened.

Los Chankas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Los Chankas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Huaral than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Unión Huaral, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Los Chankas than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Los Chankas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	16.7%	83.3%

Unión Huaral - Los Chankas Predictions

Users Predictions: Los Chankas will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Silva L. (G) 8. Aragon J. 34. Ardiles R. (C) 3. Carnelos J. 19. Carrillo A. 7. Chinga R. 20. Gutierrez J. 6. Laura A. 15. Lopez M. 11. Ubierna B. 2. Zamalloa F.	1. Sotillo M. (C) 17. Casquete A. 15. Chavez A. 2. Gamarra C. 11. Lopez C. 16. Martinez J. 4. Mogollon E. 6. Palomino R. 25. Ramos L. 28. Rengifo D. 18. Takeuchi O.
Substitutes
32. Gamarra Canales E. J. (G) 22. Shimura E. 27. Shuan A. 31. Torrejon F. 5. Tuesta J. 23. Valladolid J.	7. Benites A. 13. Huachuhuillca Y. 12. Izaguirre P. (G) 19. Soto J. 27. Temoche D. 23. Vasquez J.

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 12 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Unión Huaral won 1.

Unión Huaral is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Los Chankas is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Los Chankas will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Unión Huaral won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 16-22.

Including matches at home between the teams Unión Huaral won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unión Huaral
Peruvian Liga 2
14.09.23	Comerciantes Unidos - Unión Huaral	2:0 ✺
07.09.23	Unión Huaral - Deportivo Coopsol	1:1 ✺
29.08.23	Deportivo Llacuabamba - Unión Huaral	1:0 ✺
24.08.23	Unión Huaral - Santos	1:0 ✺
10.08.23	Unión Huaral - Ayacucho	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LTLWL
- CD Los Chankas
Peruvian Liga 2
13.09.23	Los Chankas - Comerciantes Belén	5:0 ✺
07.09.23	Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Los Chankas	2:1 ✺
30.08.23	Juan Aurich - Los Chankas	1:1 ✺
23.08.23	Los Chankas - Comerciantes Unidos	2:1 ✺
16.08.23	Deportivo Coopsol - Los Chankas	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 2
27.06.23	Los Chankas - Unión Huaral	3:0
10.07.22	Unión Huaral - Los Chankas	2:1
10.04.22	Los Chankas - Unión Huaral	1:1
12.08.21	Los Chankas - Unión Huaral	2:2
30.05.21	Unión Huaral - Los Chankas	0:3
02.12.20	Unión Huaral - Los Chankas	3:0
01.09.19	Los Chankas - Unión Huaral	2:2

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