Match Info

Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 6

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal Los Chankas (Andahuaylas)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Fanatiz
Peru	Liga 1 Play, Movistar TV App
Usa	Fanatiz


	Los Chankas		Universitario de Deportes

	1	X	2
	4	2.8	2.1	Watch
	3.9	3.3	1.77
	3.65	2.92	2.2	Watch
	3.96	3.15	2.14
	3.78	3.14	2.08	Watch
	3.5	3	2.1
	3.92	2.89	2.12	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.82 ↓ (4.97)	3.03 ↓ (3.18)	2.07 ↑ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Los Chankas
24.4%

Draw
30.7%

Universitario de Deportes
44.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.8%

29.4%

51.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.3%

28.7%

53.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Los Chankas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Los Chankas's performance.

Universitario de Deportes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Universitario de Deportes might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Los Chankas than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Los Chankas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universitario de Deportes than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Universitario de Deportes could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	33.3%	66.7%

Los Chankas - Universitario de Deportes Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Uni de Deportes will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Uni de Deportes (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Los Chankas (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Los Chankas (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Los Chankas (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Uni de Deportes (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Camacho H. (G) 18. Takeuchi O. (C) 30. Kaufman M. 33. Pimienta C. 26. Gonzales D. 31. Quintana A. 5. Palomino J. 8. Quiroz A. 15. Sanchez K. 10. Torres F. 11. Quintero J.	1. Romero D. (G) 24. Polo A. (C) 2. Fara C. 3. Riveros W. 4. Santamaria A. 27. Carabali J. 16. Perez Guedes M. 6. Castillo J. 17. Concha J. 30. Alzugaray L. 20. Valera A.
Substitutes
6. Ayarza A. 27. Barrios K. 77. Espinoza Vega F. E. 2. Gonzalez H. 14. Guevara B. 89. Posito J. 12. Pretel L. (G) 20. Torres M. 17. Velarde C.	26. Ancajima H. 29. Corzo A. 5. Di Benedetto M. 33. Inga C. 99. Miguel Silveira 23. Murrugarra J. 14. Reyna P. 11. Rivera J. 25. Vargas M. (G)
Coaches
Paolella W.	Rabanal J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Torres F. ⚽, Quiroz A. (A),
29', Santamaria A. 🟨,
41', Carabali J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Carabali J. ↓, Inga C. ↑,
47', Torres F. 🟨,
65', 1 - 1, Riveros W. ⚽, Concha J. (A),
69', Palomino J. 🟨,
70', Quintero J. ↓, Torres M. ↑,
70', Sanchez K. ↓, Ayarza A. ↑,
71', 2 - 1, Ayarza A. ⚽, Torres M. (A),
74', Velarde C. 🟥,
75', Santamaria A. ↓, Corzo A. ↑,
81', Perez Guedes M. ↓, Miguel Silveira ↑,
81', Alzugaray L. ↓, Rivera J. ↑,
88', Kaufman M. ↓, Gonzalez H. ↑,
89', Torres F. ↓, Barrios K. ↑,
90+5', Quiroz A. ↓, Guevara B. ↑,
90+7', 3 - 1, Torres M. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 and 3).

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Los Chankas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Uni de Deportes is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Los Chankas: Ospina J. (Red Card) Saravia F. (Knee Injury) Velarde C. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Los Chankas: Gonzalez H. (Injury)

There are questionable in Uni de Deportes: Corzo A. (Injury)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Los Chankas won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 0.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Los Chankas won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	U. de Deportes	11	6	3	2	21:18	3	21
15	Los Chankas	11	2	3	6	11:24	-13	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Los Chankas
Peruvian Liga 1
27.02.26	FBC Melgar - Los Chankas	1:2 ✺
22.02.26	Los Chankas - Sport Huancayo	3:2 ✺
15.02.26	Comerciantes Unidos - Los Chankas	1:1 ✺
08.02.26	Los Chankas - Alianza Atlético	1:0 ✺
31.01.26	Sport Boys - Los Chankas	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 32.3 WWTWT
- Universitario de Deportes
Peruvian Liga 1
01.03.26	Universitario de Deportes - Cajamarca	1:0 ✺
21.02.26	Sporting Cristal - Universitario de Deportes	2:2 ✺
13.02.26	Universitario de Deportes - Cienciano	2:1 ✺
07.02.26	Cusco - Universitario de Deportes	1:1 ✺
01.02.26	Universitario de Deportes - ADT Tarma	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
22.11.25	Los Chankas - Universitario de Deportes	3:1
12.07.25	Universitario de Deportes - Los Chankas	0:0
03.11.24	Los Chankas - Universitario de Deportes	0:0
25.05.24	Universitario de Deportes - Los Chankas	4:0

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