Match Info

Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 1

Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Monumental (Lima)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Fanatiz
Peru	Liga 1 Play, Movistar TV App
Usa	Fanatiz


	Universitario de Deportes		ADT Tarma

	1	X	2
	1.18	5.75	12	Watch
	1.27	4.8	9
	1.17	6.6	15	Watch
	1.19	6.29	14.94
	1.21	5.95	14.77	Watch
	1.2	5.5	13
	1.22	5.9	11.8	Watch
	1.18	6.33	16
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.2 ↓ (1.29)	5.89 ↑ (4.96)	13.31 ↑ (9.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Universitario de Deportes
77.3%

Draw
15.8%

ADT Tarma
7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72%

18.6%

9.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universitario de Deportes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Universitario de Deportes's performance.

ADT Tarma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Universitario de Deportes - ADT Tarma Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 - ADT (2.12) (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. ADT (votes: 6 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Romero D. (G) 24. Polo A. 2. Fara C. 6. Castillo J. 33. Inga C. 27. Carabali J. 16. Perez Guedes M. 29. Corzo A. (C) 17. Concha J. 20. Valera A. 19. Flores E.	30. Valencia J. (G) 13. Gomez L. 23. Narvaez J. 28. Soto J. 20. Gutierrez A. 6. Ojeda A. 16. Perez L. 22. Rodriguez A. 14. Cabello C. 17. Arakaki H. 32. Bauman J.
Substitutes
30. Alzugaray L. 26. Ancajima H. 10. Calcaterra H. 32. Guzman R. 99. Miguel Silveira 23. Murrugarra J. 14. Reyna P. 11. Rivera J. 25. Vargas M. (G)	15. Alvino J. 21. Benites Vargas L. E. 4. Biojo R. 19. Carnero A. 10. Cedron V. 29. Garcia E. 18. Mazzo A. 9. Rengifo H. 33. Solis C. (G)
Coaches
Rabanal J.	Trobbiani P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Corzo A. 🟨,
37', Valencia J. 🟨,
38', Flores E. ↓, Alzugaray L. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
55', 1 - 0, Valera A. ⚽, Concha J. (A),
57', 2 - 0, Perez Guedes M. ⚽,
62', Castillo J. ↓, Murrugarra J. ↑,
62', Cabello C. ↓, Cedron V. ↑,
64', Narvaez J. 🟨,
70', Rodriguez A. 🟨,
70', Arakaki H. ↓, Benites Vargas L. E. ↑,
71', Rodriguez A. ↓, Garcia E. ↑,
71', Ojeda A. ↓, Alvino J. ↑,
75', Bauman J. ↓, Rengifo H. ↑,
77', Perez Guedes M. ↓, Calcaterra H. ↑,
78', Polo A. ↓, Ancajima H. ↑,
78', Valera A. ↓, Rivera J. ↑,
80', Benites Vargas L. E. 🟨,
90+2', Gutierrez A. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Uni de Deportes won 3.

In this match, Uni de Deportes is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in ADT: Cedron V. (Knee Injury)

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Uni de Deportes won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:9. (average 1.9:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Uni de Deportes won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:3. (average 3:0.8).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	U. de Deportes	11	6	3	2	21:18	3	21
17	AD Tarma	11	1	3	7	7:21	-14	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Universitario de Deportes
Club Friendly
24.01.26	Universitario de Deportes - Universidad de Chile	3:0 ✺
17.01.26	Universitario de Deportes - Sport Boys	0:1 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
22.11.25	Los Chankas - Universitario de Deportes	3:1 ✺
07.11.25	Universitario de Deportes - Deportivo Garcilaso	0:0 ✺
26.10.25	ADT Tarma - Universitario de Deportes	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLLTW
- ADT Tarma
Club Friendly
18.01.26	Cajamarca - ADT Tarma	2:1 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
23.11.25	Comerciantes Unidos - ADT Tarma	0:0 ✺
10.11.25	ADT Tarma - Los Chankas	1:0 ✺
01.11.25	Deportivo Garcilaso - ADT Tarma	1:0 ✺
26.10.25	ADT Tarma - Universitario de Deportes	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
26.10.25	ADT Tarma - Universitario de Deportes	1:2
20.06.25	Universitario de Deportes - ADT Tarma	5:0
19.10.24	Universitario de Deportes - ADT Tarma	2:1
03.05.24	ADT Tarma - Universitario de Deportes	2:0
16.08.23	ADT Tarma - Universitario de Deportes	2:0
18.03.23	Universitario de Deportes - ADT Tarma	3:1
21.08.22	ADT Tarma - Universitario de Deportes	1:1

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