Match Info

Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 5

Date: 27 February 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Monumental Virgen de Chapi (Arequipa)

Referee: Ortega K. (Per)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Fanatiz
Peru	Liga 1 Play, Movistar TV App
Usa	Fanatiz


	FBC Melgar		Los Chankas

	1	X	2
	1.33	5	8	Watch
	1.33	4.8	8.9	Watch
	1.32	5.1	9.14
	1.33	5.14	8.62	Watch
	1.33	4.6	8.5
	1.35	5.03	7.66	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↑ (1.31)	4.95 ↓ (5.02)	8.47 ↓ (9.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FBC Melgar
70.1%

Draw
18.9%

Los Chankas
11%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.4%

18.6%

9.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FBC Melgar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Los Chankas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

FBC Melgar - Los Chankas Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Melgar will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Melgar (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Cabezudo J. (G) 33. Lazo M. 6. Salas J. 5. Deneumostier A. 7. Bordacahar C. 24. Tandazo W. 8. Guzman L. 45. Zegarra M. 77. Zanelatto F. 9. Cuesta B. (C) 11. Vidales J.	1. Camacho H. (G) 30. Kaufman M. 33. Pimienta C. 26. Gonzales D. 14. Guevara B. 8. Quiroz A. 5. Palomino J. 15. Sanchez K. 18. Takeuchi O. (C) 11. Quintero J. 10. Torres F.
Substitutes
27. Cabanillas N. 12. Caceda C. (G) 80. D'Arrigo J. 22. Erustes P. 14. Gamero Y. 90. Jesus Alcantar 36. Nunez P. 10. Quagliata N. 40. Yabiku R.	6. Ayarza A. 27. Barrios K. 37. Cardenas J. 77. Espinoza Vega F. E. 7. Ospina J. 89. Posito J. 12. Pretel L. (G) 31. Quintana A. 20. Torres M.
Coaches
Reynoso J.	Paolella W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', Guzman L. 🟥,
37', 1 - 0, Zegarra M. ⚽, Zanelatto F. (A),
41', Gonzales D. ↓, Torres M. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Zanelatto F. ↓, Jesus Alcantar ↑,
46', Deneumostier A. 🟨,
59', Guevara B. ↓, Quintana A. ↑,
59', Quiroz A. ↓, Ayarza A. ↑,
60', Ospina J. 🟥,
63', Kaufman M. 🟨,
67', Vidales J. ↓, Erustes P. ↑,
72', Zegarra M. ↓, D'Arrigo J. ↑,
73', Bordacahar C. ↓, Gamero Y. ↑,
77', Sanchez K. ↓, Posito J. ↑,
77', Quintero J. ↓, Barrios K. ↑,
84', 1 - 1, Ayarza A. ⚽, Torres F. (A),
90+2', 1 - 2, Ayarza A. ⚽, Quintana A. (A),

Preview

Melgar is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, Melgar is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Melgar: Bernaola G. (Injury) Quagliata N. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Los Chankas: Saravia F. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Melgar: Figueroa N. (Muscle Injury) Orzan H. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Los Chankas: Gonzalez H. (Injury)

We predict that Melgar will win today's game, with odds of 1.39.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Melgar won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:4. (average 2.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Melgar won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:1. (average 4:0.5).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	FBC Melgar	11	5	4	2	18:11	7	19
15	Los Chankas	11	2	3	6	11:24	-13	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FBC Melgar
Peruvian Liga 1
21.02.26	Cajamarca - FBC Melgar	3:1 ✺
15.02.26	FBC Melgar - Moquegua	4:0 ✺
08.02.26	Sporting Cristal - FBC Melgar	1:2 ✺
31.01.26	FBC Melgar - Cienciano	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
25.01.26	FBC Melgar - Deportivo Macará	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 LWWWW
- CD Los Chankas
Peruvian Liga 1
22.02.26	Los Chankas - Sport Huancayo	3:2 ✺
15.02.26	Comerciantes Unidos - Los Chankas	1:1 ✺
08.02.26	Los Chankas - Alianza Atlético	1:0 ✺
31.01.26	Sport Boys - Los Chankas	1:1 ✺
22.11.25	Los Chankas - Universitario de Deportes	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.7 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
21.09.25	FBC Melgar - Los Chankas	6:1
27.04.25	Los Chankas - FBC Melgar	1:1
15.09.24	FBC Melgar - Los Chankas	2:0
06.04.24	Los Chankas - FBC Melgar	2:2

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