The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Loudoun United 17.6%
Draw 23.4%
Louisville City 59%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
22.8%
28.3%
48.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
22.7%
28.1%
49.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Loudoun United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Loudoun United's form might have worsened.
Louisville City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Louisville City's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Loudoun United than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Loudoun United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Louisville City than the current prediction. (-9.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Louisville City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
33.3%
33.3%
Loudoun United - Louisville City Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Loudoun will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Louisville City will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Beaudry A. (G) 2. Adnan N. 51. Essengue A. 21. Akinyode B. 6. Awuah K. 39. Marcos Dias 8. Murphy J. (C) 10. Santos P. 7. Niyongabire P. 17. Ulfarsson T. 19. Aman R.
1. Fauroux H. (G) 4. Totsch S. 5. Dayes B. 32. Adams K. 23. Gleadle S. 8. Davila T. 27. Davila E. 13. Dia A. 19. Niang B. 14. Showunmi T. 25. Wilson J.
Substitutes
41. Bandre E. (G) 89. Herrera-Rauda L. (G) 9. Ordonez A. 16. Panayotou J. 33. Piras L.
47. Akale M. 9. Donovan C. 6. Duncan Z. 12. Faundez D. (G) 16. Moguel C. 3. Morris J. 15. Perez E. 7. Serrano R.
Coaches
Limbrick A.
Bird S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 2)
8', 1 - 0, Ulfarsson T. ⚽, Aman R. (A),
20', 1 - 1, Dayes B. ⚽, Davila T. (A),
26', 1 - 2, Showunmi T. ⚽,
44', Niang B. 🟨,
45', 2 - 2, Ulfarsson T. ⚽, Murphy J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Gleadle S. ↓, Perez E. ↑,
46', Dia A. ↓, Morris J. ↑,
48', Davila E. 🟨,
61', 3 - 2, Akinyode B. ⚽, Murphy J. (A),
65', Niang B. ↓, Duncan Z. ↑,
65', Wilson J. ↓, Donovan C. ↑,
66', Niyongabire P. ↓, Piras L. ↑,
72', 3 - 3, Davila E. ⚽, Perez E. (A),
76', Marcos Dias ↓, Ordonez A. ↑,
76', Santos P. ↓, Panayotou J. ↑,
87', Davila E. ↓, Serrano R. ↑,
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Loudoun won 1.
In recent matches, Loudoun has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Louisville City is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
In this match, Louisville City is seen as the favorite.
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Loudoun won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 11:24. (average 0.8:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Loudoun won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1.2:1.7).
Brazil
North-central-america
Watch
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Beaudry A. (G) 
Essengue A. 
Akinyode B. 
Awuah K. 
Marcos Dias 
Santos P. 
Niyongabire P. 
Ulfarsson T. 
Fauroux H. (G) 
Adams K. 
Gleadle S. 
Niang B. 
Ordonez A. 
Piras L. 
Duncan Z. 
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