Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Lynn Family Stadium (Louisville, KY)

Referee: Scheer J. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+, NESN Plus


	Louisville City		Rhode Island

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.55	3.7	5
	1.58	3.85	5.15
	1.59	4.1	5.5
	1.57	4.19	5.18	Watch
	1.53	3.7	5
	1.55	3.76	5.27	Watch
	1.55	3.9	5.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.78)	3.89 ↑ (3.52)	5.19 ↑ (4.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Louisville City
58.8%

Draw
23.6%

Rhode Island
17.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.7%

26.1%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Louisville City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Louisville City's performance.

Rhode Island has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Louisville City - Rhode Island Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fauroux H. (G) 5. Dayes B. 4. Totsch S. 32. Adams K. (C) 15. Perez E. 6. Duncan Z. 8. Davila T. 3. Morris J. 25. Wilson J. 9. Donovan C. 7. Serrano R.	1. Koke Vegas (C) 15. Nodarse F. 24. Yao K. 5. Stoneman G. 3. Sanchez A. 12. Holstad C. 10. Rodriguez A. 4. Bacharach Capdevila H. 17. Kwizera J. 8. Leo Afonso 9. Williams J.
Substitutes
47. Akale M. 27. Davila E. 23. Gleadle S. 31. Lambert K. 16. Moguel C. 19. Niang B. 14. Showunmi T. 30. Troutman R. (G)	7. Atkinson D. 14. Dorsey L. 13. Meyer W. (G) 2. Rovira D. 22. Scardina N. 19. Vang K. 25. Williams C.
Coaches
Cruz D.	Smith K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
21', 0 - 1, Kwizera J. ⚽, Leo Afonso (A),
23', 1 - 1, Morris J. ⚽,
31', Morris J. 🟨,
37', Leo Afonso 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
47', 2 - 1, Duncan Z. ⚽, Wilson J. (A),
56', 2 - 2, Holstad C. ⚽, Williams J. (A),
60', Sanchez A. ↓, Williams C. ↑,
63', Yao K. 🟨,
67', Perez E. ↓, Gleadle S. ↑,
67', Duncan Z. ↓, Niang B. ↑,
71', Rodriguez A. ↓, Dorsey L. ↑,
76', 3 - 2, Adams K. ⚽, Davila T. (A),
82', Donovan C. ↓, Showunmi T. ↑,
84', Yao K. ↓, Atkinson D. ↑,
88', Williams J. 🟥,
90+2', 4 - 2, Wilson J. ⚽, Serrano R. (A),
90+6', Bacharach Capdevila H. 🟨,

Preview

Rhode Island may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Louisville City is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Louisville City will win today's game, with odds of 1.56.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Louisville City won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 1:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Louisville City won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 1.3:3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Louisville City FC
US Open Cup
18.03.26	Louisville City - Southern Indiana	2:0 ✺
USL Championship
14.03.26	Louisville City - Miami	4:1 ✺
06.03.26	Lexington - Louisville City	1:2 ✺
01.11.25	Louisville City - Detroit City	0:1 ✺
25.10.25	Louisville City - Hartford Athletic	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWWLW
- Rhode Island FC
US Open Cup
17.03.26	Rhode Island - Faialense	4:0 ✺
USL Championship
14.03.26	Rhode Island - Sporting Jacksonville	1:1 ✺
15.11.25	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Rhode Island	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	North Carolina - Rhode Island	0:2 ✺
02.11.25	Charleston Battery - Rhode Island	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
06.09.25	Rhode Island - Louisville City	0:1
11.06.25	Louisville City - Rhode Island	2:1
09.11.24	Louisville City - Rhode Island	0:3
22.06.24	Louisville City - Rhode Island	2:5
25.05.24	Rhode Island - Louisville City	0:0

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