Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 3 July 2026, Friday

Location: Segra Field (Leesburg, VA)

Referee: Maric M. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
Canada	fubo Sports Network
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Usa	ESPN 2, ESPN App, ESPN+, KDKA+


	Loudoun United		Sporting Jacksonville

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.65	3.80	4.00
	1.50	4.10	4.90
	1.68	4.30	4.42
	1.61	4.25	4.56	Watch
	1.66	4.25	4.35
	1.68	4.06	4.37	Watch
	1.65	3.90	4.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.61)	4.09 ↓ (4.22)	4.4 ↓ (4.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Loudoun United
56.5%

Draw
22.5%

Sporting Jacksonville
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.7%

22%

20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5%

19.3%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Loudoun United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Sporting Jacksonville has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Loudoun United than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Loudoun United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Jacksonville than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Loudoun United - Sporting Jacksonville Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Loudoun will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Sporting Jax will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Bandre E. (G) 24. Erlandson J. (C) 21. Akinyode B. 5. Mazzaferro S. 19. Aman R. 22. Torres C. 8. Murphy J. 6. Awuah K. 16. Panayotou J. 17. Ulfarsson T. 11. Aboukoura A.	31. Olivares C. (G) 12. Rito E. 18. Ackwei W. 22. Gomez A. 3. Rose T. 6. Rossiter J. (C) 44. Somersall R. 8. Kuzain W. 19. Pedder R. 10. Sadlier K. 16. Jaaskelainen E.
Substitutes
2. Adnan N. 38. Barrus L. 89. Herrera-Rauda L. (G) 7. Niyongabire P. 4. O'Connor A. 9. Ordonez A. 33. Piras L. 14. Souper A. 20. Young S.	11. Al Qaq A. 4. Dudley E. 7. Evans J. 26. Granitur L. 1. McGuire J. (G) 2. Neville H. 17. Soto E.
Coaches
Limbrick A.	Fox L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', Akinyode B. 🟨,
24', Awuah K. 🟨,
45+1', 0 - 1, Sadlier K. ⚽, Jaaskelainen E. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
63', Murphy J. ↓, Souper A. ↑,
63', Panayotou J. ↓, Ordonez A. ↑,
65', Somersall R. ↓, Neville H. ↑,
74', Kuzain W. 🟨,
77', Torres C. ↓, Niyongabire P. ↑,
77', Sadlier K. ↓, Al Qaq A. ↑,
81', 1 - 1, Ordonez A. ⚽, Ulfarsson T. (A),
89', Pedder R. ↓, Evans J. ↑,
90+1', 2 - 1, Aboukoura A. ⚽, Awuah K. (A),
90+2', Aboukoura A. ↓, Adnan N. ↑,
90+3', 2 - 2, Jaaskelainen E. ⚽, Rito E. (A),

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 11 and 13).

Loudoun is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Sporting Jax is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Sporting Jax may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Sporting Jax has had a series of home games.

In this match, Loudoun is considered a favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Loudoun United
USL Championship
24.06.26	Charleston Battery - Loudoun United	4:1 ✺
20.06.26	Birmingham Legion - Loudoun United	1:1 ✺
13.06.26	Loudoun United - Rhode Island	1:4 ✺
USL Cup
10.06.26	Greenville Triumph - Loudoun United	3:1 ✺
06.06.26	Loudoun United - Richmond Kickers	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LTLLW
- Sporting Jacksonville
USL Championship
20.06.26	Sporting Jacksonville - Charleston Battery	2:5 ✺
13.06.26	Sporting Jacksonville - Detroit City	2:6 ✺
10.06.26	Monterey Bay - Sporting Jacksonville	2:1 ✺
USL Cup
06.06.26	Sporting Jacksonville - Tampa Bay Rowdies	0:2 ✺
USL Championship
31.05.26	Sporting Jacksonville - Brooklyn	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLLT

Upcoming Matches