Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 13 June 2026, Saturday

Location: Hodges Stadium (Jacksonville, FL)

Referee: Escobar J. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Sporting Jacksonville		Detroit City

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.75	3.90	1.55
	5.15	3.85	1.58
	5.42	4.07	1.55
	5.19	4.27	1.54	Watch
	5	3.7	1.53
	5.26	3.85	1.54	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.13 ↑ (4.25)	3.94 ↑ (3.4)	1.55 ↓ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sporting Jacksonville
17.8%

Draw
23.2%

Detroit City
59%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.2%

26.5%

52.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.8%

26%

53.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting Jacksonville has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Detroit City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Detroit City's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Jacksonville than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Detroit City than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Detroit City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Sporting Jacksonville - Detroit City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Olivares C. (G) 18. Ackwei W. 15. Edwards R. (C) 2. Neville H. 12. Rito E. 44. Somersall R. 6. Rossiter J. 3. Rose T. 19. Pedder R. 16. Jaaskelainen E. 8. Kuzain W.	1. Herrera C. (G) 4. Montgomery C. 30. Amoo-Mensah D. (C) 17. Rafa Mentzingen 33. Silva T. 8. Diop A. 22. Hernandez-Foster K. 18. Etaka P. 9. Morris B. 32. Diouf A. 7. Smith D.
Substitutes
11. Al Qaq A. 7. Evans J. 22. Gomez A. 26. Granitur L. 1. McGuire J. (G) 10. Sadlier K. 32. Soumaoro B. 28. Underwood E.	20. Hope-Gund R. 21. Rodriguez M. 11. Rutz C. 91. Saldana C. (G) 3. Stanley A. 2. Williams R. 14. Yamazaki H.
Coaches
Fox L.	Dichio D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
9', 1 - 0, Jaaskelainen E. ⚽, Pedder R. (A),
13', 1 - 1, Smith D. ⚽,
26', 1 - 2, Smith D. ⚽, Morris B. (A),
38', Montgomery C. ↓, Hope-Gund R. ↑,
45', Rito E. 🟨,
45+3', 1 - 3, Smith D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
48', Diouf A. 🟨,
56', Amoo-Mensah D. 🟨,
57', 1 - 4, Smith D. ⚽, Etaka P. (A),
64', Somersall R. ↓, Sadlier K. ↑,
65', Kuzain W. 🟨,
67', Morris B. ↓, Rutz C. ↑,
67', Etaka P. ↓, Yamazaki H. ↑,
67', Ackwei W. ↓, Gomez A. ↑,
69', 2 - 4, Sadlier K. ⚽, Jaaskelainen E. (A),
71', Rito E. ↓, Al Qaq A. ↑,
75', Diop A. ↓, Stanley A. ↑,
75', Rafa Mentzingen ↓, Williams R. ↑,
81', 2 - 5, Smith D. ⚽, Hernandez-Foster K. (A),
84', Rutz C. 🟨,
90+1', Gomez A. 🟨,
90+2', 2 - 6, Hernandez-Foster K. ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Recent form of Sporting Jax has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Detroit City's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Detroit City is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sporting Jax won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting Jacksonville
USL Championship
10.06.26	Monterey Bay - Sporting Jacksonville	2:1 ✺
USL Cup
06.06.26	Sporting Jacksonville - Tampa Bay Rowdies	0:2 ✺
USL Championship
31.05.26	Sporting Jacksonville - Brooklyn	2:2 ✺
27.05.26	Sporting Jacksonville - San Antonio	4:4 ✺
USL Cup
17.05.26	Naples - Sporting Jacksonville	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLTTL
- Detroit City FC
USL Championship
10.06.26	Detroit City - El Paso Locomotive	1:1 ✺
USL Cup
06.06.26	Detroit City - Lexington	1:2 penalties ✺
USL Championship
30.05.26	Charleston Battery - Detroit City	2:0 ✺
23.05.26	Loudoun United - Detroit City	0:0 ✺
20.05.26	Detroit City - Miami	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 TLLTW

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
11.04.26	Detroit City - Sporting Jacksonville	1:0

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