Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 10 June 2026, Wednesday

Location: Cardinale Stadium (Seaside, CA)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	CBS Sports Network
Venezuela	Disney+


	Monterey Bay		Sporting Jacksonville

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.57	3.90	4.50
	1.68	3.60	4.10
	1.61	4.37	5.14
	1.66	4.27	4.26	Watch
	1.57	3.90	4.75
	1.60	3.94	4.56	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.79)	4 ↑ (3.58)	4.55 ↑ (3.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Monterey Bay
56.9%

Draw
23%

Sporting Jacksonville
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.4%

25.6%

23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2%

24.7%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Monterey Bay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Monterey Bay's performance.

Sporting Jacksonville has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monterey Bay than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Jacksonville than the current prediction. (+2%)

Monterey Bay - Sporting Jacksonville Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
98. Jackson J. (G) 22. Garcia J. 5. Gordon N. (C) 32. Farnsworth Z. 17. Glasgow O. 19. Nadje C. 4. Ross N. 14. Nakamura R. 88. Lletget S. 9. Bidois R. 20. Paul I.	31. Olivares C. (G) 18. Ackwei W. 2. Neville H. 22. Gomez A. 12. Rito E. 6. Rossiter J. (C) 44. Somersall R. 3. Rose T. 10. Sadlier K. 16. Jaaskelainen E. 19. Pedder R.
Substitutes
18. Belmar J. 23. Blancas E. 33. Carbajal D. 1. Delgado F. (G) 25. Egwu K. 11. Leggett W. 8. Lomtadze G. 3. Ritchie S.	4. Dudley E. 7. Evans J. 26. Granitur L. 8. Kuzain W. 1. McGuire J. (G) 14. Reid A. 32. Soumaoro B.
Coaches
Covelo A.	Fox L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Garcia J. ⚽, Paul I. (A),
26', Neville H. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
58', Somersall R. ↓, Kuzain W. ↑,
65', Nadje C. ↓, Leggett W. ↑,
70', 1 - 1, Sadlier K. ⚽,
75', Nakamura R. 🟨,
77', Kuzain W. 🟨,
80', 2 - 1, Bidois R. ⚽,
83', Lletget S. ↓, Blancas E. ↑,
84', Bidois R. 🟨,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 12 and 13).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Sporting Jax may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Monterey Bay is a strong favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Monterey Bay FC
USL Cup
06.06.26	Sacramento Republic - Monterey Bay	2:1 penalties ✺
USL Championship
30.05.26	Monterey Bay - Loudoun United	4:1 ✺
23.05.26	Monterey Bay - Birmingham Legion	2:0 ✺
USL Cup
16.05.26	Boise - Monterey Bay	4:3 ✺
USL Championship
08.05.26	Lexington - Monterey Bay	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LWWLL
- Sporting Jacksonville
USL Cup
06.06.26	Sporting Jacksonville - Tampa Bay Rowdies	0:2 ✺
USL Championship
31.05.26	Sporting Jacksonville - Brooklyn	2:2 ✺
27.05.26	Sporting Jacksonville - San Antonio	4:4 ✺
USL Cup
17.05.26	Naples - Sporting Jacksonville	2:1 penalties ✺
13.05.26	Sarasota Paradise - Sporting Jacksonville	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LTTLW

Upcoming Matches