Match Info

Women's National League North - Round 6

Date: 4 October 2026, Sunday


	Loughborough Lightning		Norwich City

	1	X	2
	4.20	3.99	1.60
	3.15	3.71	1.98	Watch
	4.15	3.95	1.58
	4.02	4.33	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.88 ↑ (2.5)	4 ↑ (3.73)	1.71 ↓ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Loughborough Lightning
23.5%

Draw
22.9%

Norwich City
53.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.6%

24.5%

38.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Loughborough Lightning has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Loughborough Lightning's form might have worsened.

Norwich City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Norwich City's recent form is better than expected.

Loughborough Lightning - Norwich City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2nd Half (2 - 2)

Preview

A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 6th and 7th).

Loughborough could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Norwich W	6	2	3	1	9:7	2	9
7	Loughborough Lightning W	6	2	1	3	10:14	-4	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Loughborough Lightning Women
English National League North Women
30.08.26	Loughborough Lightning - Stoke City	1:0 ✺
26.04.26	Loughborough Lightning - Sporting Khalsa	6:0 ✺
12.04.26	Halifax FC - Loughborough Lightning	1:1 ✺
29.03.26	Loughborough Lightning - Stoke City	1:0 ✺
22.03.26	Loughborough Lightning - Wolverhampton Wanderers	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 32.8 WWTWL
- Norwich City Women
English National League North Women
20.09.26	Norwich City - Stoke City	1:1 ✺
13.09.26	Norwich City - Boldmere St. Michaels	2:2 ✺
English FA Cup Women
08.12.24	Cheltenham Town - Norwich City	2:1 ET ✺
08.01.23	Burnley - Norwich City	1:0 ✺
28.11.21	Stoke City - Norwich City	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TTLLL

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