Match Info

NIFL Championship - Round 24

Date: 3 March 2026, Tuesday


	Ards		Limavady United

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.4	1.8
	3.9	3.4	1.85
	3.85	3.37	1.82
	3.9	3.53	1.83	Watch
	3.9	3.1	1.83
	4.04	3.38	1.79
	3.2	3.25	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.77 ↑ (3.39)	3.35 ↓ (3.85)	1.85 ↓ (1.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ards
24%

Draw
27.1%

Limavady United
48.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.1%

23.9%

49%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.3%

24%

48.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ards has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Limavady United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ards than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Limavady United than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Ards - Limavady United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ards won 2.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Limavady may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Limavady is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Ards won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 1.4:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Ards won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Ards	10	3	3	4	12:13	-1	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ards FC
Northern Irish Championship
28.02.26	Ards - Ballinamallard United	2:1 ✺
21.02.26	Queens University Belfast - Ards	2:2 ✺
14.02.26	Ards - Harland & Wolff Welders	2:3 ✺
03.02.26	Ards - Newington	2:1 ✺
24.01.26	Ards - Institute FC	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WTLWT
- Limavady United
Northern Irish Championship
27.02.26	Dundela - Limavady United	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Limavady United - Loughgall	0:0 ✺
14.02.26	Institute FC - Limavady United	1:2 ✺
Northern Irish Cup
06.02.26	Limavady United - Linfield	1:0 ✺
Northern Irish Championship
31.01.26	Warrenpoint Town - Limavady United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 TTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Championship
22.11.25	Limavady United - Ards	1:0
11.10.25	Ards - Limavady United	1:4
12.04.25	Ards - Limavady United	1:1
15.02.25	Limavady United - Ards	0:1
22.11.24	Ards - Limavady United	2:0
10.08.24	Limavady United - Ards	0:3
Northern Irish League Cup
27.08.19	Limavady United - Ards	4:2

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