Match Info

NORTHERN IRELAND: NIFL Premiership - Round 24

Date: 30 December 2024, Monday

Location: Lakeview Park (Loughgall)

Referee: Dillon M. (Nir)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	Onefootball


	Loughgall		Coleraine

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.9	1.68
	4.33	3.75	1.7	Watch
	4.13	3.89	1.74
	4.3	4.01	1.71	Watch
	4.33	3.75	1.73
	4.3	3.94	1.68	Watch
	4.33	3.75	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.26 ↑ (4.22)	3.86 ↑ (3.83)	1.71 (1.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Loughgall
21.7%

Draw
24%

Coleraine
54.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.9%

24.1%

54%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.2%

23.8%

53.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Loughgall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Coleraine has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Loughgall than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coleraine than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	27.3%	54.5%

Loughgall - Coleraine Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Loughgall will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Coleraine will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Coleraine: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Gartside N. (G) 18. Balde A. 22. Boyd J. 19. Francis L. 13. Gibson J. 33. Kelly D. 6. Kelly T. 29. McCloskey C. 4. Murdock B. 3. Rea J. 27. Towe A.	1. Brown R. (G) 4. Boyle D. 17. Glackin J. 16. Harkin C. 3. Jarvis D. 2. Kane L. (C) 15. McClelland K. 19. McGonigle J. 9. Shevlin M. 11. Spence K. C. 6. Stewart C.
Substitutes
15. Cartwright L. 37. Da Silva Guterres O. 9. Ferris N. 26. Harvey B. 44. Ingram J. 1. Turker B. (G)	7. Campbell R. 23. Devine S. 13. Little M. (G) 22. McClintock S. 18. McLaughlin K. 10. Murray C. 26. Smith C.
Coaches
Smith D.	Shiels D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
30', 1 - 0, McCloskey C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
52', 1 - 1, Shevlin M. ⚽,
55', 🟨,
55', Shevlin M. (Pen),
66', 1 - 2, Glackin J. ⚽,
74', 🟨,
74', Spence K. C. ↓, Campbell R. ↑,
78', Boyle D. 🟨,
82', Towe A. ↓, Harvey B. ↑,
87', 1 - 3, Campbell R. ⚽,
89', Shevlin M. ↓, McClintock S. ↑,
89', McGonigle J. ↓, Devine S. ↑,
90+4', Stewart C. ↓, Murray C. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Loughgall won 1.

Loughgall is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Coleraine is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Coleraine could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Coleraine is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Loughgall won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 7:14 (average 1.2:2.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Loughgall won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:6 (average 0.5:3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Loughgall FC
Northern Irish Premiership
26.12.24	Dungannon Swifts - Loughgall	2:1 ✺
21.12.24	Loughgall - Ballymena United	2:3 ✺
14.12.24	Carrick Rangers - Loughgall	0:0 ✺
30.11.24	Loughgall - Glentoran	2:2 ✺
23.11.24	Cliftonville - Loughgall	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LLTTL
- Coleraine FC
Northern Irish Premiership
26.12.24	Coleraine - Ballymena United	2:2 ✺
14.12.24	Linfield - Coleraine	3:0 ✺
30.11.24	Glenavon - Coleraine	3:3 ✺
24.11.24	Coleraine - Crusaders	1:2 ✺
16.11.24	Loughgall - Coleraine	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 TLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Premiership
16.11.24	Loughgall - Coleraine	0:4
21.09.24	Coleraine - Loughgall	2:0
30.12.23	Coleraine - Loughgall	1:3
09.12.23	Coleraine - Loughgall	3:2
11.08.23	Loughgall - Coleraine	1:2
Club Friendly
02.10.20	Coleraine - Loughgall	2:1

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