Match Info

NIFL Premiership - Round 4

Date: 23 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Mourneview Park (Lurgan)

Referee: Dillon M. (Nir)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Glenavon		Coleraine

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.5	1.8
	4.05	3.55	1.78
	4.38	3.81	1.77
	4.2	3.3	1.85
	4.02	3.52	1.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.11 ↑ (3.73)	3.54 ↑ (3.42)	1.8 ↓ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Glenavon
22.5%

Draw
26.2%

Coleraine
51.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.8%

27.1%

48.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.7%

24.8%

52.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Glenavon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Coleraine has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Glenavon than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coleraine than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Glenavon - Coleraine Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Glenavon will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Coleraine will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Carney J. (G) 3. Burns P. 27. Carlin S. 17. Lowe K. 11. Mallon S. 8. Malone J. 15. McClelland K. 29. McGovern P. 6. McKeown B. (C) 2. McMullan J. 22. O'Connor M.	58. Harris A. (G) 4. Boyle D. 11. Cooper J. 18. Dunne C. 15. Ives L. 2. Kane L. 6. Lyons-Foster K. 19. McGonigle J. 7. McGregor L. 29. McManus D. 8. Patching W.
Substitutes
. Byrne M. (G) . Campbell P. . Lomboto F. . McDaid D. . Murphy H. . Quinn N. . Wilson B.	. Brolly T. 16. Doherty R. 25. Evans H. (G) 3. Jarvis D. 5. Long A. 9. Shevlin M. 20. Stewart C.
Coaches
McLaughlin P.	Higgins R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
28', Dunne C. ↓, Long A. ↑,
43', 0 - 1, Long A. ⚽,
44', Kane L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
58', Ives L. ↓, Jarvis D. ↑,
58', McManus D. ↓, Shevlin M. ↑,
58', McGonigle J. ↓, Doherty R. ↑,
70', Doherty R. 🟨,
71', 1 - 1, McGovern P. ⚽,
76', 🟥,
81', McGregor L. ↓, Brolly T. ↑,
90', 1 - 2, Shevlin M. ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 11 in the zone NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NIFL Premiership (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Glenavon won 1.

Glenavon has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Coleraine is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Coleraine is the team to beat.

We predict that Coleraine will win today's game, with odds of 1.82.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Glenavon won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 25:33. (average 1.3:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Glenavon won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1.3:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Glenavon FC
Northern Irish Premiership
19.08.25	Glentoran - Glenavon	2:0 ✺
16.08.25	Carrick Rangers - Glenavon	1:0 ✺
09.08.25	Glenavon - Ballymena United	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.25	Harland & Wolff Welders - Glenavon	3:0 ✺
29.07.25	Glenavon - Glentoran	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Coleraine FC
Northern Irish Premiership
19.08.25	Coleraine - Dungannon Swifts	2:0 ✺
16.08.25	Cliftonville - Coleraine	0:0 ✺
10.08.25	Coleraine - Larne	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
26.07.25	Fleetwood Town - Coleraine	2:1 ✺
19.07.25	Limavady United - Coleraine	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
15.07.25	Coleraine - Glenavon	4:0
Northern Irish Premiership
08.03.25	Glenavon - Coleraine	0:1
30.11.24	Glenavon - Coleraine	3:3
24.08.24	Coleraine - Glenavon	0:2
27.01.24	Coleraine - Glenavon	1:0
Northern Irish League Cup
05.12.23	Coleraine - Glenavon	2:3
Northern Irish Premiership
02.12.23	Glenavon - Coleraine	1:1

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