Match Info

NORTHERN IRELAND: NIFL Premiership - Round 30

Date: 22 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Loughview Leisure Arena (Carrickfergus)

Referee: Gregg S. (Nir)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Carrick Rangers		Loughgall

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.5	3.9
	1.81	3.75	4.24
				Watch
	1.8	3.5	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↑ (1.79)	3.58 ↓ (3.61)	4.05 ↑ (3.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carrick Rangers
51.3%

Draw
25.8%

Loughgall
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.2%

25.4%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3%

24.9%

22.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carrick Rangers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Loughgall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carrick Rangers than the current prediction. (+1%)

The ML Model estimate for Loughgall aligns with the current prediction.

Carrick Rangers - Loughgall Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. McIntyre J. (G) 30. Boyle E. 16. Clucas S. 19. Crowe J. 24. Gibson D. 34. Hastings J. 22. Heatley P. 11. Maciulaitis N. 12. McCullough L. (C) 31. O'Brien L. 38. O'Malley C.	31. Gartside N. (G) 18. Balde A. 25. Carroll J. 21. Magee B. 20. Mahon R. . McCaffrey F. 4. Murdock B. (C) 12. Norton R. 7. Pablo Andrade 27. Towe A. 8. Waide R.
Substitutes
20. Cherry K. 7. Cushley D. 36. Foley A. 33. Forbes S. 1. Glendinning R. (G) 35. O’Reilly J. 29. Webb R.	19. Francis L. 13. Gibson J. 29. McCloskey C. 32. McLaughlin K. 16. McMenemy L. 17. O'Brien M. 1. Turker B. (G)
Coaches
Baxter S.	Smith D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Heatley P. ↓, Cherry K. ↑,
26', O'Malley C. ↓, Webb R. ↑,
36', Hastings J. 🟨,
45', Cherry K. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Hastings J. ↓, Foley A. ↑,
46', Boyle E. ↓, Cushley D. ↑,

Preview

Loughgall is NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group )

Last 5 head-to-head matches Carrick Rangers won 1.

Carrick Rangers is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Loughgall is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Loughgall could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Loughgall have a series of guest games.

In this match Carrick Rangers is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Carrick Rangers won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11:12 (average 1.8:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Carrick Rangers won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:3 (average 1.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carrick Rangers
Northern Irish Premiership
15.02.25	Dungannon Swifts - Carrick Rangers	3:1 ✺
12.02.25	Cliftonville - Carrick Rangers	3:0 ✺
08.02.25	Carrick Rangers - Coleraine	0:1 ✺
04.02.25	Carrick Rangers - Larne	1:2 ✺
Northern Irish Cup
01.02.25	Ballinamallard United - Carrick Rangers	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLLW
- Loughgall FC
Northern Irish Premiership
15.02.25	Linfield - Loughgall	1:0 ✺
Northern Irish Cup
01.02.25	Dollingstown - Loughgall	0:3 ✺
Northern Irish Premiership
25.01.25	Loughgall - Glentoran	1:2 ✺
18.01.25	Cliftonville - Loughgall	2:0 ✺
Northern Irish Cup
14.01.25	Institute FC - Loughgall	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Premiership
14.12.24	Carrick Rangers - Loughgall	0:0
17.08.24	Loughgall - Carrick Rangers	3:0
20.04.24	Carrick Rangers - Loughgall	2:1
24.02.24	Loughgall - Carrick Rangers	3:3
02.12.23	Carrick Rangers - Loughgall	2:2
07.10.23	Loughgall - Carrick Rangers	3:4

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