Match Info

USA: USL Championship

Date: 28 September 2024, Saturday

Location: Lynn Family Stadium (Louisville, KY)

Referee: Bensalah N. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
World	Disney+


	Louisville City		Memphis 901

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.5	4.1	5
	1.52	4.2	5.5
	1.49	4.43	5.39
	1.53	4.42	5.34	Watch
	1.49	4.33	5.53	Watch
	1.52	4.2	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↑ (1.48)	4.28 ↓ (4.3)	5.38 ↓ (5.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Louisville City
61.2%

Draw
21.6%

Memphis 901
17.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.8%

21.6%

15.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.1%

21.2%

15.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Louisville City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Memphis 901 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Louisville City than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Memphis 901 than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Louisville City - Memphis 901 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. Las D. (G) 4. Totsch S. 5. Ordonez A. 32. Adams K. (C) 2. McFadden A. 17. Davila T. 23. Wynder E. 13. Dia A. 16. Perez A. 7. Serrano R. 14. Harris W.	1. Deric T. (G) 18. Quezada A. 91. Cissoko A. 8. Turci L. 14. Ward A. (C) 5. Careaga S. 6. Duncan Z. 10. Lapa B. 4. Hyndman E. 77. Borczak D. 11. Marlon
Substitutes
20. Gleadle S. 22. Mares D. 11. McCabe N. 3. Morris J. 15. Perez E. 80. Stamps H. 30. Troutman R. (G) 25. Wilson J.	21. Armenakas P. 22. Henry T. (G) 19. Jimenez O. 9. Nascimento L. 23. Paul L. 20. Pickering N. 2. Tulu
Coaches
Cruz D.	Glass S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 2)
14', 0 - 1, Lapa B. ⚽, Careaga S. (A),
18', 0 - 2, Lapa B. ⚽, Careaga S. (A),
25', 1 - 2, Harris W. ⚽, Adams K. (A),
40', 2 - 2, Davila T. ⚽, Adams K. (A),
45+6', 3 - 2, Wynder E. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Borczak D. ↓, Nascimento L. ↑,
53', Nascimento L. 🟨,
53', Duncan Z. ↓, Paul L. ↑,
55', 4 - 2, Davila T. ⚽, McFadden A. (A),
60', Adams K. 🟨,
63', Perez A. ↓, Wilson J. ↑,
64', Careaga S. ↓, Armenakas P. ↑,
64', Hyndman E. ↓, Pickering N. ↑,
77', Quezada A. ↓, Jimenez O. ↑,
77', Dia A. ↓, Gleadle S. ↑,
77', Harris W. ↓, Perez E. ↑,
79', Gleadle S. 🟨,
80', Jimenez O. 🟨,
81', Turci L. 🟨,
85', McFadden A. ↓, Morris J. ↑,
86', Wynder E. ↓, McCabe N. ↑,
90+2', Cissoko A. 🟨,

Preview

Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )

Last 5 head-to-head matches Louisville City won 2.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Memphis could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Louisville City have a series of guest games.

In this match Louisville City is a favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Louisville City won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 23-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Louisville City won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Louisville City FC
USL Championship
22.09.24	Detroit City - Louisville City	2:1 ✺
14.09.24	Tulsa - Louisville City	0:1 ✺
06.09.24	Louisville City - Loudoun United	1:0 ✺
31.08.24	North Carolina - Louisville City	4:6 ✺
24.08.24	Hartford Athletic - Louisville City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWWWL
- Memphis 901
USL Championship
14.09.24	Memphis 901 - North Carolina	3:0 ✺
11.09.24	Memphis 901 - Hartford Athletic	0:0 ✺
28.08.24	Colorado Springs Switchbacks - Memphis 901	3:1 ✺
24.08.24	Oakland Roots - Memphis 901	1:1 ✺
17.08.24	Memphis 901 - Tulsa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WTLTW

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
21.10.23	Memphis 901 - Louisville City	1:2 penalties
10.06.23	Louisville City - Memphis 901	1:3
29.04.23	Memphis 901 - Louisville City	1:1
23.09.22	Louisville City - Memphis 901	1:2
16.07.22	Memphis 901 - Louisville City	1:2
23.10.21	Louisville City - Memphis 901	3:1
13.10.21	Memphis 901 - Louisville City	2:1

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