Match Info

USL Cup

Date: 20 June 2026, Saturday

Location: Keyworth Stadium (Hamtramck, MI)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Detroit City		Louisville City

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.70	3.20	2.25
	2.75	3.35	2.18
	2.86	3.18	2.46
	2.08	3.61	3.05	Watch
	2.75	3.00	2.30
	2.84	3.14	2.32	Watch
	2.58	3.15	2.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↑ (2.55)	3.23 ↑ (3.1)	2.44 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Detroit City
34.4%

Draw
28.2%

Louisville City
37.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

28.9%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6%

28.4%

36.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Detroit City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Louisville City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Detroit City than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Louisville City than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Detroit City - Louisville City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Herrera C. (G) 14. Yamazaki H. 30. Amoo-Mensah D. (C) 3. Stanley A. 33. Silva T. 22. Hernandez-Foster K. 8. Diop A. 17. Rafa Mentzingen 20. Hope-Gund R. 32. Diouf A. 9. Morris B.	12. Faundez D. (G) 4. Totsch S. (C) 5. Dayes B. 3. Morris J. 2. McFadden A. 19. Niang B. 6. Duncan Z. 13. Dia A. 25. Wilson J. 7. Serrano R. 14. Showunmi T.
Substitutes
15. Dalou A. 66. Obeid B. 21. Rodriguez M. 11. Rutz C. 91. Saldana C. (G) 6. Williams R.	32. Adams K. 47. Akale M. 27. Davila E. 8. Davila T. 1. Fauroux H. (G) 23. Gleadle S. 21. Huerman Q. 16. Moguel C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Showunmi T. 🟨,
39', Silva T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Duncan Z. 🟨,
56', Niang B. ↓, Davila T. ↑,
67', Silva T. ↓, Williams R. ↑,
69', Serrano R. ↓, Akale M. ↑,
77', Diop A. ↓, Rutz C. ↑,
81', Wilson J. ↓, Davila E. ↑,
81', Amoo-Mensah D. 🟨,
81', Showunmi T. ↓, Huerman Q. ↑,
81', Duncan Z. ↓, Moguel C. ↑,
85', Rafa Mentzingen ↓, Rodriguez M. ↑,
Penalties (3 - 4)
1, Hernandez-Foster K. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Totsch S. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Morris B. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Davila T. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Stanley A. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Moguel C. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Williams R. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Huerman Q. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Rodriguez M. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Detroit City won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Louisville City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Detroit City won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 9:18. (average 0.8:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Detroit City won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 1.2:0.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Detroit City - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 35.18%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Detroit City FC
USL Championship
13.06.26	Sporting Jacksonville - Detroit City	2:6 ✺
10.06.26	Detroit City - El Paso Locomotive	1:1 ✺
USL Cup
06.06.26	Detroit City - Lexington	1:2 penalties ✺
USL Championship
30.05.26	Charleston Battery - Detroit City	2:0 ✺
23.05.26	Loudoun United - Detroit City	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WTLLT
- Louisville City FC
USL Championship
13.06.26	Louisville City - Brooklyn	2:2 ✺
10.06.26	Phoenix Rising - Louisville City	0:2 ✺
03.06.26	Birmingham Legion - Louisville City	1:1 ✺
30.05.26	Louisville City - Tampa Bay Rowdies	0:2 ✺
23.05.26	Miami - Louisville City	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TWTLL

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
02.05.26	Detroit City - Louisville City	2:1
01.11.25	Louisville City - Detroit City	0:1
27.09.25	Detroit City - Louisville City	0:1
29.03.25	Louisville City - Detroit City	2:0
22.09.24	Detroit City - Louisville City	2:1
29.05.24	Louisville City - Detroit City	5:1
28.10.23	Louisville City - Detroit City	4:0

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