The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Louisville City 65.6%
Draw 19.3%
Loudoun United 15%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
64.6%
19.3%
16.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.2%
14.4%
21.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Louisville City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
Loudoun United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Louisville City than the current prediction. (-17.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Louisville City that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Loudoun United than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Loudoun United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Louisville City - Loudoun United Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
29. Schewe R. (G) 2. McFadden A. 5. Dayes B. 32. Adams K. (C) 15. Perez E. 31. Lambert K. 19. Niang B. 13. Dia A. 21. Huerman Q. 9. Donovan C. 7. Serrano R.
13. Farr J. (G) 2. Adnan N. 24. Erlandson J. (C) 21. Akinyode B. 7. Niyongabire P. 20. Young S. 23. Watts A. 6. Awuah K. 18. Lomtadze G. 11. Aboukoura A. 9. Davis III E.
Substitutes
47. Akale M. 99. Conley C. 27. Davila E. 23. Gleadle S. 16. Moguel C. 3. Morris J. 14. Showunmi T. 30. Troutman R. (G) 25. Wilson J.
19. Aman R. 41. Bandre E. (G) 17. Butts L. 39. Marcos Dias 8. Murphy J. 22. Torres C. 28. Zouhir R.
Coaches
Bird S.
Limbrick A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Davis III E. ⚽, Aboukoura A. (A),
17', Young S. 🟨,
38', 1 - 1, Serrano R. ⚽, Huerman Q. (A),
45', 2 - 1, Donovan C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Niang B. ↓, Davila E. ↑,
57', Dia A. ↓, Morris J. ↑,
60', Lomtadze G. ↓, Torres C. ↑,
61', Young S. ↓, Zouhir R. ↑,
65', Huerman Q. 🟨,
69', Huerman Q. ↓, Akale M. ↑,
71', Watts A. ↓, Aman R. ↑,
84', Awuah K. 🟨,
85', Murphy J. ↓, Butts L. ↑,
85', Niyongabire P. ↓, Marcos Dias ↑,
86', Donovan C. ↓, Showunmi T. ↑,
86', Perez E. ↓, Gleadle S. ↑,
90+1', Davila E. 🟨,
90+3', Akinyode B. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Louisville City won 3.
Louisville City has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Loudoun is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Louisville City may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Louisville City enters as the overwhelming favorite.
In the last 14 head-to-head meetings, Louisville City has recorded 11 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 27:14 (averaging 1.9:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Louisville City against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 14:4 goals (averaging 2:0.6 per game).
Argentina
Brazil
Chile
Colombia
Mexico
North-central-america
Peru
Uruguay
Usa
Venezuela
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Schewe R. (G) 
Adams K. (C) 
Lambert K. 
Niang B. 
Huerman Q. 
Akinyode B. 
Niyongabire P. 
Young S. 
Lomtadze G. 
Aboukoura A. 
Gleadle S. 
Butts L. 
Marcos Dias 
Torres C. 
Limbrick A. 
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