Match Info

USA: USL Championship

Date: 14 September 2024, Saturday

Location: ONEOK Field (Tulsa, OK)

Referee: Jensen B. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
World	Disney+


	Tulsa		Louisville City

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.8	4	1.52
	5	4.2	1.55
	4.98	4.2	1.57
	5.23	4.18	1.58	Watch
	5.1	4.15	1.56	Watch
	5	4.2	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.02 ↑ (4.57)	4.16 ↓ (4.2)	1.56 ↓ (1.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tulsa
18.4%

Draw
22.2%

Louisville City
59.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.3%

22.1%

57.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.1%

21.9%

58.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tulsa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Louisville City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tulsa than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Louisville City than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Tulsa - Louisville City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Penaranda J. (G) 12. Tetteh R. 3. Souahy A. 22. Bourgeois B. 20. Seagrist P. 7. Booth A. 6. Diallo B. 19. Stojanovic S. 77. Bettache F. 70. Pacheco D. 29. Bibout A.	18. Las D. (G) 4. Totsch S. 5. Ordonez A. 32. Adams K. 2. McFadden A. 17. Davila T. 23. Wynder E. 13. Dia A. 25. Wilson J. 9. Goodrum P. 7. Serrano R.
Substitutes
10. Bell M. 1. Creek M. (G) 21. Dalou A. 8. Ferri B. 2. Harper A. 17. Laszo E. 63. Sanchez S. 66. Sanchez S. 47. St.Clair H.	14. Harris W. 22. Mares D. 11. McCabe N. 3. Morris J. 16. Perez A. 15. Perez E. 30. Troutman R. (G)
Coaches
Sanchez M.	Cruz D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
20', Tetteh R. 🟨,
29', Bourgeois B. 🟨,
33', 0 - 1, Wilson J. ⚽, Totsch S. (A),
45+1', McFadden A. ↓, Morris J. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Tetteh R. ↓, St.Clair H. ↑,
55', Wynder E. 🟨,
60', Serrano R. ↓, Perez A. ↑,
60', Goodrum P. ↓, Harris W. ↑,
60', Pacheco D. ↓, Bell M. ↑,
60', Diallo B. ↓, Laszo E. ↑,
68', Souahy A. 🟨,
70', Morris J. ↓, Mares D. ↑,
71', St.Clair H. 🟨,
73', Stojanovic S. ↓, Dalou A. ↑,
84', Adams K. 🟨,
84', Booth A. ↓, Sanchez S. ↑,
87', Wynder E. ↓, McCabe N. ↑,

Preview

Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tulsa won 2.

Tulsa is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Louisville City is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Tulsa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Louisville City is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Tulsa won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 14-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Tulsa won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Tulsa
USL Championship
11.09.24	Tulsa - Las Vegas Lights	1:1 ✺
06.09.24	Phoenix Rising - Tulsa	1:0 ✺
01.09.24	Tulsa - Colorado Springs Switchbacks	1:4 ✺
24.08.24	Detroit City - Tulsa	0:1 ✺
17.08.24	Memphis 901 - Tulsa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TLLWL
- Louisville City FC
USL Championship
06.09.24	Louisville City - Loudoun United	1:0 ✺
31.08.24	North Carolina - Louisville City	4:6 ✺
24.08.24	Hartford Athletic - Louisville City	2:1 ✺
17.08.24	Louisville City - Charleston Battery	3:1 ✺
10.08.24	Louisville City - Sacramento Republic	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
04.08.23	Tulsa - Louisville City	0:3
24.05.23	Louisville City - Tulsa	1:2
07.09.22	Tulsa - Louisville City	2:2
28.05.22	Louisville City - Tulsa	4:1
03.09.21	Louisville City - Tulsa	0:1
14.08.21	Louisville City - Tulsa	2:1
10.07.21	Tulsa - Louisville City	3:2

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