Match Info

Liga 3 - Round 7

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Algarve (Faro/Loulé) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Portugal	15:00	Canal 11


	Louletano		Atlético CP

	1	X	2
	2.90	2.75	2.40
	2.95	2.82	2.35
	3.12	2.99	2.51
	3.04	2.95	2.49	Watch
	3.05	2.7	2.45
	2.91	2.99	2.32
	2.95	2.85	2.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↑ (2.96)	2.86 ↓ (3.61)	2.41 ↑ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Louletano
30.4%

Draw
31.8%

Atlético CP
37.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31.4%

25.8%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3%

24.9%

44.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Louletano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Atlético CP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Louletano than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético CP than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético CP could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Louletano - Atlético CP Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
71. Marcao (G) 18. Martins D. 12. Gabriel Passos 3. Correia T. 97. Mendes E. 2. Carlinhos 8. Lemes S. 27. Martelo N. 19. Sousa T. 10. Goncalves V. (C) 23. Daniel Paulino	22. Hidalgo N. (G) 2. Martins J. 33. Calegari A. 4. Henriques D. 5. Durand V. 18. Dias R. (C) 28. Konate M. 8. Sousa C. 10. Caleb 38. Santana C. 11. Suker H.
Substitutes
21. Cruz M. 65. Dede 87. Dias A. 13. Farrajota J. (G) 17. Marinho Y. 9. Teixeira G. 29. Teixeira R. 14. van der Gaag L. 6. Vilela T.	23. Arezes D. 6. Costa G. 99. Dias R. (G) 29. Dinamite D. 85. Gaspar N. 9. Nicolas Souza 20. Pacheco E. 45. Tavares R. 19. Traore S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Suker H. ⚽, Konate M. (A),
7', 1 - 1, Correia T. ⚽, Martelo N. (A),
35', Martins D. 🟨,
37', Martins J. 🟨,
40', Lemes S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Sousa C. ↓, Nicolas Souza ↑,
46', Mendes E. 🟨,
55', Sousa T. ↓, Teixeira G. ↑,
55', Mendes E. ↓, Cruz M. ↑,
58', Correia T. 🟨,
61', Dias R. ↓, Costa G. ↑,
62', Henriques D. 🟨,
64', Martelo N. 🟨,
65', Martelo N. ↓, van der Gaag L. ↑,
67', 2 - 1, Daniel Paulino ⚽,
70', Daniel Paulino 🟨,
77', Goncalves V. ↓, Dede ↑,
77', Daniel Paulino ↓, Vilela T. ↑,
80', Durand V. ↓, Dinamite D. ↑,
80', Konate M. ↓, Gaspar N. ↑,
83', Dinamite D. 🟨,
88', Carlinhos 🟨,
89', 🟨,
90', 🟥,
90+2', 2 - 2, Traore S. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table host welcomes one of the top contenders in an exciting contest (ranked 7th in the Liga 3 (Relegation Group: ) and 2nd in the Promotion - Liga 3 (Promotion Group: )).

Louletano has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Atlético CP is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Louletano could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Atlético CP has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Last Results with these Odds

Atlético CP - the odds 2.17 are the expected chance of winning is 42.84%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Louletano DC
Taça de Portugal
17.10.26	Louletano - Rio Ave	0:1 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
10.10.26	Vitória de Sernache - Louletano	1:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
20.09.26	Serpa - Louletano	1:2 ET ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
12.09.26	Louletano - União de Santarém	1:2 ✺
06.09.26	Louletano - Lusitano GC	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LLWLW
- Atlético CP
Taça de Portugal
17.10.26	Atlético CP - Vizela	1:0 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
11.10.26	Atlético CP - Caldas	4:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
19.09.26	Atlético CP - Lagoa	4:1 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
13.09.26	Belenenses - Atlético CP	1:0 ✺
06.09.26	Atlético CP - Oliveirense	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WWWLW

Louletano - Atlético CP