Match Info

Date: 30 March 2022, Wednesday


	Luarca		Roces

	1	X	2
	1.77	3.2	4
	1.72	3.2	4.2
	1.73	3.32	4.3
	1.92	2.91	4.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.74)	3.16 ↑ (3.13)	4.24 ↑ (3.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luarca
50.3%

Draw
28.5%

Roces
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

27.8%

22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3%

27%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luarca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Roces has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luarca than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roces than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 10 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Luarca is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Roces is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Luarca could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Luarca is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Luarca won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luarca CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
27.03.22	Colunga - Luarca	3:0 ✺
20.03.22	Luarca - Sporting de Gijón B	0:0 ✺
13.03.22	Llanes - Luarca	0:1 ✺
06.03.22	Luarca - LEntregu	2:1 ✺
27.02.22	Covadonga - Luarca	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 31.6 LTWWW
- CD Roces
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
26.03.22	Roces - Lealtad	1:3 ✺
20.03.22	Tuilla - Roces	2:0 ✺
12.03.22	Roces - Langreo B	3:0 ✺
06.03.22	Caudal Deportivo - Roces	3:2 ✺
27.02.22	Praviano - Roces	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
13.11.21	Roces - Luarca	2:1

Luarca - Roces: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide