Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 36

Date: 13 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Porta Elisa (Lucca)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 256


	Lucchese		Vis Pesaro

	1	X	2
	3	3.1	2.15
	2.95	3.2	2.33
	3	3.26	2.35	Watch
	3.2	3	2.2
	3.12	3.12	2.34	Watch
	2.95	3.2	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.04 ↑ (2.77)	3.15 ↑ (3.12)	2.28 ↓ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lucchese
30.3%

Draw
29.3%

Vis Pesaro
40.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.2%

29.6%

37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7%

30.1%

37.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lucchese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Vis Pesaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucchese than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vis Pesaro than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	10%	90%

Lucchese - Vis Pesaro Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Vis Pesaro will win (votes: 9 - 90%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vis Pesaro: 71.4% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Vis Pesaro (3.03) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

DNB - Vis Pesaro (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Vis Pesaro will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Vis Pesaro (votes: 9 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
59. Melgrati R. (G) 29. Antoni E. 23. Ballarini M. 5. Benedetti S. 96. Galli G. 30. Gemignani A. 27. Gucher R. 9. Magnaghi S. 3. Rizzo N. 10. Selvini A. 21. Visconti E.	22. Vukovic A. (G) 34. Cannavo K. 26. Coppola F. 10. Di Paola M. 13. Neri G. M. 9. Nicastro F. 17. Paganini L. 7. Pucciarelli M. 16. Schiavon M. 5. Tonucci D. 3. Zoia R.
Substitutes
12. Allegrucci L. (G) 20. Badje I. 26. Cartano R. 1. Coletta J. (G) 2. da Silva J. 19. Fedato F. 6. Gasbarro A. 80. Gheza F. 71. Moschella M. 17. Mozzillo M. 28. Plutnik A. 15. Salomaa H. 70. Saporiti E. 24. Welbeck N.	77. Afonso Peixoto 15. Ceccacci M. 95. Di Renzo G. 97. Lari N. 12. Mariani M. (G) 30. Orellana C. 1. Pozzi A. (G) 14. Rabbini M. 27. Raychev A. 71. Tavernaro F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', 1 - 0, Selvini A. ⚽,
54', Di Paola M. 🟨,
55', Schiavon M. ↓, Orellana C. ↑,
59', Rizzo N. 🟨,
63', Tonucci D. ↓, Tavernaro F. ↑,
63', Cannavo K. ↓, Afonso Peixoto ↑,
67', Magnaghi S. ↓, Badje I. ↑,
75', Gucher R. 🟨,
80', Pucciarelli M. ↓, Raychev A. ↑,
80', Neri G. M. ↓, Lari N. ↑,
82', Afonso Peixoto 🟨,
87', Ballarini M. ↓, Fedato F. ↑,
88', Galli G. 🟨,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lucchese won 3.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Vis Pesaro will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Lucchese: Tumbarello G. (Inactive)

There will not play in Vis Pesaro: Bove D. (Inactive) Forte M. (Inactive) Obi J. (Inactive) Okoro A. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Lucchese: Catanese G. (Inactive)

Last 7 head-to-head matches Lucchese won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11:9 (average 1.6:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Lucchese won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:4 (average 1.7:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Lucchese Libertas 1905
Italian Serie C Group B
05.04.25	Pontedera - Lucchese	4:1 ✺
30.03.25	Lucchese - Ternana	4:1 ✺
22.03.25	Legnago Salus - Lucchese	1:1 ✺
15.03.25	Lucchese - Campobasso	2:0 ✺
11.03.25	Lucchese - Virtus Entella	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 LWTWT
- SSD Vis Pesaro 1898
Italian Serie C Group B
05.04.25	Vis Pesaro - Rimini	1:2 ✺
30.03.25	Ascoli - Vis Pesaro	0:0 ✺
22.03.25	Vis Pesaro - Pianese	2:0 ✺
15.03.25	Pescara - Vis Pesaro	2:2 ✺
11.03.25	Vis Pesaro - Gubbio	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
30.11.24	Vis Pesaro - Lucchese	2:1
28.03.24	Vis Pesaro - Lucchese	1:3
25.11.23	Lucchese - Vis Pesaro	1:2
19.02.23	Lucchese - Vis Pesaro	3:0
19.10.22	Vis Pesaro - Lucchese	0:1
16.02.22	Vis Pesaro - Lucchese	2:1
10.10.21	Lucchese - Vis Pesaro	1:2

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