Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP B - ROUND 12

Date: 6 November 2023, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Pineto		Fermana

	1	X	2
	1.93	3	3.7
	2	3.1	4	Watch
	2.02	3.05	4.18
	2.02	3.03	4.19
	1.91	3.1	3.8
	1.9	3.1	3.95
	2	3.05	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.33)	3.06 ↑ (3.02)	3.92 ↑ (2.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pineto
46.6%

Draw
30%

Fermana
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

30.1%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5%

29%

29.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pineto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pineto's performance.

Fermana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fermana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pineto than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pineto that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fermana than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fermana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Pineto - Fermana Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Pineto will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Tonti A. (G) 6. Amadio S. (C) 27. Baggi F. 19. Borsoi M. 29. Chakir A. 23. De Santis S. 24. Evangelisti N. 9. Gambale D. 8. Germinario G. 30. Villa L. 7. Volpicelli E.	22. Furlanetto A. (G) 27. Calderoni M. 9. Curatolo D. 2. Eleuteri A. 34. Gasbarro A. 20. Giandonato M. (C) 26. Misuraca G. 69. Montini M. 8. Scorza C. 5. Spedalieri J. 7. Tilli R.
Substitutes
20. Della Quercia R. 4. Di Filippo N. 77. Foglia M. 36. Grilli M. (G) 28. Ingrosso G. 21. Lombardi L. 32. Macario G. 14. Marafini A. 1. Mercorelli S. (G) 11. Njambe M. 17. Ruggiero M. 70. Teraschi M.	19. Biral N. 1. Borghetto N. (G) 16. Fontana T. 6. Fort F. 21. Grassi L. 12. Mancini A. (G) 14. Padella E. 11. Paponi D. 10. Pinzi R. 3. Pistolesi F. 15. Santi P. 70. Semprini M. 18. Vessella M.

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 13 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Pineto is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Fermana is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Fermana could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Pineto is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Pineto won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Pineto won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Pineto Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
02.11.23	Olbia - Pineto	1:0 ✺
30.10.23	Vis Pesaro - Pineto	1:1 ✺
26.10.23	Carrarese - Pineto	1:1 ✺
22.10.23	Pineto - Cesena	1:1 ✺
11.10.23	Pineto - Pescara	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 LTTTW
- US Fermana
Italian Serie C Group B
29.10.23	Fermana - Ancona	1:1 ✺
25.10.23	Olbia - Fermana	2:1 ✺
22.10.23	Fermana - Virtus Entella	0:2 ✺
15.10.23	SPAL - Fermana	0:0 ✺
09.10.23	Fermana - Perugia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group F
09.04.17	Pineto - Fermana	1:2
27.11.16	Fermana - Pineto	3:0

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