Match Info
Serie D - Group E - Round 7Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday ๐ Finished Location: Porta Elisa (Lucca) ๐ค๏ธ ...
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Lucchese |
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Ternana |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
2.45 |
3.20 |
2.50 |
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2.45 |
3.10 |
2.52 |
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2.5 |
3.32 |
2.55 |
 Watch |
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2.43 |
3.24 |
2.49 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.46 ↑
(2.45) |
3.22 ↑
(3.1) |
2.52
(2.52) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Lucchese
36.5% | Draw
27.9% | Ternana
35.6% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML EstimationAnalysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Lucchese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)Ternana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucchese than the current prediction. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ternana than the current prediction. (-1.1%)Lucchese - Ternana Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 14', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 25', 0 - 2, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 56', 1 - 2, ⚽,
- 75', 2 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
This match features a clash between a top-table contender and a mid-table team (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - Serie D - Group E Playoffs and 9th).Lucchese arrives with excellent momentum after picking up several victories (last 5 matches: 4 wins).Performances by Ternana have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).Ternana could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match. The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Lucchese has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 4:6 (averaging 2:3 goals per game).Specifically in home fixtures for Lucchese against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 4:1 goals.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 6 | Ternana | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 14:8 | 6 | 15 |
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| 8 | Lucchese | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 19:16 | 3 | 15 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Lucchese - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 36.2%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
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