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Current Win Probability
Lucchese 17%
Draw 23.7%
Ternana 59.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
22.5%
25.3%
52.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
22.2%
25%
52.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lucchese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lucchese's form might have worsened.
Ternana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ternana's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucchese than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lucchese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ternana than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ternana, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Lucchese - Ternana Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
59. Melgrati R. (G) 27. Gucher R. 5. Benedetti S. 3. Rizzo N. 29. Antoni E. 24. Welbeck N. 21. Visconti E. 23. Ballarini M. 19. Fedato F. 9. Magnaghi S. 10. Selvini A.
26. Vannucchi G. (G) 13. Maestrelli A. 19. Capuano M. (C) 3. Tito F. 15. Casasola T. 5. Corradini G. 8. de Boer K. 20. Donati F. 10. Cicerelli E. 21. Curcio A. 71. Cianci P.
Substitutes
12. Allegrucci L. (G) 20. Badje I. 26. Cartano R. 1. Coletta J. (G) 2. da Silva J. 96. Galli G. 6. Gasbarro A. 80. Gheza F. 71. Moschella M. 28. Plutnik A. 15. Salomaa H.
17. Aloi S. 72. Ciammaglichella A. 99. Donnarumma A. 2. Fazzi N. 9. Ferrante A. 87. Martella B. 7. Millico V. 70. Romeo F. 4. Vallocchia A. 1. Vitali T. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 1)
2', 1 - 0, Magnaghi S. ⚽,
12', 2 - 0, Visconti E. ⚽,
14', Capuano M. ↓, Vallocchia A. ↑,
25', Fedato F. 🟨,
26', 3 - 0, Magnaghi S. ⚽,
37', 3 - 1, Cicerelli E. ⚽,
43', Cicerelli E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Donati F. ↓, Fazzi N. ↑,
46', Corradini G. ↓, Ferrante A. ↑,
46', Tito F. ↓, Martella B. ↑,
51', Melgrati R. 🟨,
60', Magnaghi S. ↓, Badje I. ↑,
67', Curcio A. ↓, Romeo F. ↑,
68', Vallocchia A. 🟨,
73', 4 - 1, Badje I. ⚽,
74', Badje I. 🟨,
75', Romeo F. 🟨,
85', Fedato F. ↓, Salomaa H. ↑,
87', Welbeck N. 🟨,
90+2', Welbeck N. ↓, Gasbarro A. ↑,
90+3', Selvini A. ↓, Gheza F. ↑,
Preview
Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)).
Recent matches Lucchese is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Ternana in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Ternana could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Ternana is indisputable favorite.
There will not play in Lucchese: Saporiti E.
(Inactive)
Tumbarello G.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Ternana: Damiani S.
(Knee Injury)
Krastev D.
(Knee Injury)
Viviani F.
(Knee Injury)
Last 1 head-to-head matches Lucchese won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:5
Italy
Watch
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Melgrati R. (G) 
Gucher R. 
Welbeck N. 
Casasola T. 
de Boer K. 
Badje I. 
da Silva J. 
Salomaa H. 
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