Match Info

GERMANY: REGIONALLIGA NORDOST - ROUND 16

Date: 24 January 2024, Wednesday


	Luckenwalde		Energie Cottbus

	1	X	2
	4.4	3.7	1.61
	4.75	3.75	1.66
	4.37	3.91	1.72
	4.45	3.72	1.65
	4.6	3.9	1.53
	4.66	3.72	1.63
	4.3	3.7	1.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.5 ↑ (3.15)	3.77 ↑ (3.63)	1.64 ↓ (1.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luckenwalde
20.2%

Draw
24.2%

Energie Cottbus
55.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.8%

25%

46.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.8%

24.2%

44.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luckenwalde has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Luckenwalde's form might have worsened.

Energie Cottbus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Energie Cottbus's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luckenwalde than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Luckenwalde, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Energie Cottbus than the current prediction. (-11%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Energie Cottbus, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Luckenwalde - Energie Cottbus Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Luckenwalde will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Cottbus will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 8 and 3).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Luckenwalde won 1.

Luckenwalde is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Cottbus is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Cottbus could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Cottbus is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Luckenwalde won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 6-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Luckenwalde won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FSV 63 Luckenwalde
Club Friendly
17.11.23	Luckenwalde - Tasmania Berlin	1:1 ✺
German Regionalliga Nordost
12.11.23	Luckenwalde - Rot-Weiß Erfurt	4:0 ✺
03.11.23	Viktoria 1889 Berlin - Luckenwalde	2:0 ✺
28.10.23	Luckenwalde - Hertha Berlin II	2:0 ✺
20.10.23	Chemnitzer - Luckenwalde	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 TWLWW
- Energie Cottbus
German Regionalliga Nordost
25.11.23	Energie Cottbus - Berliner FC Dynamo	0:1 ✺
11.11.23	Lokomotive Leipzig - Energie Cottbus	2:2 ✺
05.11.23	Energie Cottbus - Babelsberg	4:0 ✺
29.10.23	Greifswald - Energie Cottbus	1:1 ✺
21.10.23	Energie Cottbus - Carl Zeiss Jena	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LTWTL

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Nordost
05.02.23	Luckenwalde - Energie Cottbus	1:0
13.08.22	Energie Cottbus - Luckenwalde	3:0
05.12.21	Luckenwalde - Energie Cottbus	2:3
25.07.21	Energie Cottbus - Luckenwalde	1:1
25.04.21	Luckenwalde - Energie Cottbus	Canceled
01.11.20	Energie Cottbus - Luckenwalde	1:1
18.04.18	Luckenwalde - Energie Cottbus	0:2

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