Match Info

Date: 18 August 2022, Thursday

Location: Huvepharma Arena (Razgrad)

Referee: Kruzliak I. (Svk)


	Ludogorets Razgrad		Žalgiris

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.33	6	Watch
	1.51	4.33	6.25	Watch
	1.42	4.7	7.5
	1.49	4.35	6.25
	1.48	4.27	7.18
	1.5	4.2	6.5
	1.46	4.35	6.45	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↑ (1.42)	4.36 ↓ (4.6)	6.59 ↓ (7.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ludogorets Razgrad
64.1%

Draw
21.6%

Žalgiris
14.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.1%

20.7%

12.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64%

19.7%

12.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ludogorets Razgrad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Žalgiris has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ludogorets Razgrad than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Žalgiris than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.5%	5.9%	12.6%

Ludogorets Razgrad - Žalgiris Predictions

Users Predictions: Ludogorets Razgrad will win (97 of 119 users predict this - 81.51%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.53% – 88.49%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

1st leg.

Ludogorets is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Žalgiris is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Žalgiris could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Ludogorets is certain favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Ludogorets won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Ludogorets won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ludogorets Razgrad
UEFA Champions League
09.08.22	Dinamo Zagreb - Ludogorets Razgrad	4:2 ✺
02.08.22	Ludogorets Razgrad - Dinamo Zagreb	1:2 ✺
Bulgarian Parva Liga
29.07.22	Ludogorets Razgrad - Spartak Varna	5:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
26.07.22	Shamrock Rovers - Ludogorets Razgrad	2:1 ✺
Bulgarian Parva Liga
22.07.22	CSKA 1948 Sofia - Ludogorets Razgrad	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLWLT
- Žalgiris Vilnius
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
14.08.22	Riteriai - Žalgiris	1:5 ✺
UEFA Champions League
09.08.22	Žalgiris - Bodø Glimt	1:1 ✺
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
06.08.22	Žalgiris - Banga Gargždai	2:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
03.08.22	Bodø Glimt - Žalgiris	5:0 ✺
27.07.22	Malmö - Žalgiris	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 32.7 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
19.07.17	Ludogorets Razgrad - Žalgiris	4:1
12.07.17	Žalgiris - Ludogorets Razgrad	2:1

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