Match Info

Date: 9 August 2022, Tuesday

Location: Stadion Maksimir (Zagreb)

Referee: Bastien B. (Fra)


	Dinamo Zagreb		Ludogorets Razgrad

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.8	4.2	Watch
	1.8	3.7	4.33
	1.77	3.85	4.45
	1.79	3.75	4.2
	1.79	3.93	4.57
	1.83	3.5	4.33	Watch
	1.79	3.75	4.25	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↑ (1.72)	3.75 ↓ (3.9)	4.33 ↓ (4.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dinamo Zagreb
52.8%

Draw
25.3%

Ludogorets Razgrad
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.6%

24.5%

19.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7%

23.6%

19.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dinamo Zagreb has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Ludogorets Razgrad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dinamo Zagreb than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ludogorets Razgrad than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.8%	10.7%	16.5%

Dinamo Zagreb - Ludogorets Razgrad Predictions

Users Predictions: 103 users predict this event. Dinamo Zagreb will win (votes: 75 - 72.8%). Ludogorets will win (votes: 17 - 16.5%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 10.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dinamo Zagreb: 64.2% – 81.4%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-1.

Dinamo Zagreb in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Ludogorets is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ludogorets could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Dinamo Zagreb have a series of guest games.

In this match Dinamo Zagreb is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Dinamo Zagreb won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Dinamo Zagreb won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dinamo Zagreb
Croatian HNL
05.08.22	Varaždin - Dinamo Zagreb	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
02.08.22	Ludogorets Razgrad - Dinamo Zagreb	1:2 ✺
Croatian HNL
29.07.22	Dinamo Zagreb - Istra 1961	4:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
26.07.22	Shkupi - Dinamo Zagreb	0:1 ✺
Croatian HNL
23.07.22	Slaven Belupo - Dinamo Zagreb	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 TWWWW
- Ludogorets Razgrad
UEFA Champions League
02.08.22	Ludogorets Razgrad - Dinamo Zagreb	1:2 ✺
Bulgarian Parva Liga
29.07.22	Ludogorets Razgrad - Spartak Varna	5:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
26.07.22	Shamrock Rovers - Ludogorets Razgrad	2:1 ✺
Bulgarian Parva Liga
22.07.22	CSKA 1948 Sofia - Ludogorets Razgrad	2:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
19.07.22	Ludogorets Razgrad - Shamrock Rovers	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LWLTW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
02.08.22	Ludogorets Razgrad - Dinamo Zagreb	1:2
UEFA Europa League
12.12.13	Dinamo Zagreb - Ludogorets Razgrad	1:2
03.10.13	Ludogorets Razgrad - Dinamo Zagreb	3:0
UEFA Champions League
25.07.12	Dinamo Zagreb - Ludogorets Razgrad	3:2

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