Match Info

Date: 2 August 2022, Tuesday

Location: Huvepharma Arena (Razgrad)

Referee: Cakir C. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovakia	Arena sport 1
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Ludogorets Razgrad		Dinamo Zagreb

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.1	2.62	Watch
	2.8	2.95	2.6
	2.8	3.15	2.7
	2.8	3.15	2.6
	2.88	3.16	2.71
	2.8	3	2.7	Watch
	2.83	3.15	2.64	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.81 ↑ (2.32)	3.09 ↓ (3.24)	2.65 ↓ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ludogorets Razgrad
33.7%

Draw
30.6%

Dinamo Zagreb
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

29.3%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

30%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ludogorets Razgrad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ludogorets Razgrad's form might have worsened.

Dinamo Zagreb has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dinamo Zagreb's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ludogorets Razgrad than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ludogorets Razgrad, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dinamo Zagreb than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dinamo Zagreb, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
39.7%	26.5%	33.8%

Ludogorets Razgrad - Dinamo Zagreb Predictions

Users Predictions: 68 users predict this event. Ludogorets will win (votes: 27 - 39.7%). Dinamo Zagreb will win (votes: 23 - 33.8%). It will Tie (votes: 18 - 26.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ludogorets: 28.1% – 51.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

1st leg.

Ludogorets is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Dinamo Zagreb is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Ludogorets won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Ludogorets won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ludogorets Razgrad
Bulgarian Parva Liga
29.07.22	Ludogorets Razgrad - Spartak Varna	5:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
26.07.22	Shamrock Rovers - Ludogorets Razgrad	2:1 ✺
Bulgarian Parva Liga
22.07.22	CSKA 1948 Sofia - Ludogorets Razgrad	2:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
19.07.22	Ludogorets Razgrad - Shamrock Rovers	3:0 ✺
Bulgarian Parva Liga
15.07.22	Ludogorets Razgrad - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLTWW
- Dinamo Zagreb
Croatian HNL
29.07.22	Dinamo Zagreb - Istra 1961	4:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
26.07.22	Shkupi - Dinamo Zagreb	0:1 ✺
Croatian HNL
23.07.22	Slaven Belupo - Dinamo Zagreb	1:5 ✺
UEFA Champions League
19.07.22	Dinamo Zagreb - Shkupi	2:2 ✺
Croatian HNL
15.07.22	Dinamo Zagreb - Lokomotiva Zagreb	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
12.12.13	Dinamo Zagreb - Ludogorets Razgrad	1:2
03.10.13	Ludogorets Razgrad - Dinamo Zagreb	3:0
UEFA Champions League
25.07.12	Dinamo Zagreb - Ludogorets Razgrad	3:2

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