Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 29 March 2026, Sunday


	Ludogorets Razgrad		Farul Constanța

	1	X	2
	3.44	3.18	2.07	Watch
	1.64	4.1	4.69	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↑ (1.64)	3.64 ↓ (4.1)	3.38 ↓ (4.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ludogorets Razgrad
40.8%

Draw
28.5%

Farul Constanța
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.2%

22.9%

20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60%

21.8%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ludogorets Razgrad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ludogorets Razgrad's form might have worsened.

Farul Constanța has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Farul Constanța's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ludogorets Razgrad than the current prediction. (+19.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ludogorets Razgrad, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Farul Constanța than the current prediction. (-11.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Farul Constanța, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ludogorets Razgrad - Farul Constanța Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
15', 1 - 0, Tekpetey B. ⚽,
17', 1 - 1, Alibec D. ⚽,
43', 1 - 2, Almeida D. (Own goal),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
53', 2 - 2, Vinicius Nogueira ⚽,
64', 3 - 2, Gustavo Marins (Own goal),

Preview

Ludogorets is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Farul is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Ludogorets may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Ludogorets is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Ludogorets will win today's game, with odds of 1.64.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ludogorets Razgrad
Bulgarian Parva Liga
19.03.26	Spartak Varna - Ludogorets Razgrad	1:5 ✺
14.03.26	Ludogorets Razgrad - CSKA Sofia	3:0 ✺
09.03.26	Montana - Ludogorets Razgrad	0:3 ✺
05.03.26	Ludogorets Razgrad - Levski Sofia	1:0 ✺
02.03.26	Ludogorets Razgrad - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWWWT
- Farul Constanța
Romanian SuperLiga
21.03.26	Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc - Farul Constanța	1:1 ✺
15.03.26	Farul Constanța - Petrolul Ploieşti	2:0 ✺
06.03.26	Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc - Farul Constanța	1:0 ✺
28.02.26	Farul Constanța - CFR Cluj	1:2 ✺
22.02.26	Argeș Pitești - Farul Constanța	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TWLLL

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