Match Info

Europa League - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Date: 19 February 2026, Thursday

Location: Huvepharma Arena (Razgrad)

Referee: Stieler T. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Ludogorets Razgrad		Ferencvárosi

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.3	2.55
	2.6	3.3	2.65
	2.85	3.3	2.6
	2.9	3.3	2.61
	2.64	3.29	2.75	Watch
	2.63	3.1	2.6
	2.86	3.37	2.61
	2.6	3.2	2.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↑ (2.65)	3.27 ↓ (3.3)	2.65 ↓ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ludogorets Razgrad
34.9%

Draw
29.2%

Ferencvárosi
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

28.8%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3%

29.3%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ludogorets Razgrad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Ferencvárosi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ludogorets Razgrad than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferencvárosi than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
39.5%	44.7%	15.8%

Ludogorets Razgrad - Ferencvárosi Predictions

Users Predictions: 38 users predict this event. Ludogorets will win (votes: 15 - 39.5%). Ferencvárosi will win (votes: 6 - 15.8%). It will Tie (votes: 17 - 44.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 28.9% – 60.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Ludogorets (votes: 3 - 30%). Ferencvárosi (votes: 1 - 10%). Tie (votes: 6 - 60%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25 - Ludogorets (2.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

DNB - Ferencvárosi (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Ludogorets (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Ludogorets (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Ferencvárosi (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Tie (votes: 6 - 46.2%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
39. Bonmann H. (G) 17. Son 4. Almeida D. 24. Verdon O. 3. Nedyalkov A. (C) 27. Vinicius Nogueira 23. Duarte D. 30. Pedro Naressi 11. Caio Vidal 9. Duah K. 14. Stanic P.	99. Grof D. (G) 4. Gomez M. 27. Cisse I. (C) 28. Raemaekers T. 25. Makreckis C. 36. Kanichowsky G. 15. Abu Fani M. 23. Otvos B. 20. Cadu 19. Kovacevic F. 11. Dele
Substitutes
2. Andersson J. 18. Chochev I. 77. Erick Marcus 67. Hristov D. (G) 99. Ivanov S. 26. Kaloc F. 55. Nachmias I. 1. Padt S. (G) 81. Penev G. 12. Rwan Cruz 37. Tekpetey B. 82. Yordanov I.	30. Gruber Z. 75. Joseph L. 5. Keita N. 10. Levi J. 72. Madarasz A. 77. Nagy B. 47. O'Dowda C. 66. Romao J. 22. Szalai G. 82. Toth Z. (G) 1. Varga A. (G) 16. Zachariassen K.
Coaches
Hogmo P.	Keane R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
4', Vinicius Nogueira 🟨,
24', 1 - 0, Duah K. ⚽, Pedro Naressi (A),
27', 1 - 1, Dele ⚽, Abu Fani M. (A),
38', Abu Fani M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Verdon O. ↓, Nachmias I. ↑,
52', Almeida D. 🟨,
56', Pedro Naressi 🟨,
59', Cadu 🟨,
61', Otvos B. ↓, Romao J. ↑,
66', Vinicius Nogueira ↓, Erick Marcus ↑,
67', 2 - 1, Son ⚽, Erick Marcus (A),
75', Cadu ↓, O'Dowda C. ↑,
75', Kovacevic F. ↓, Joseph L. ↑,
76', Gomez M. ↓, Zachariassen K. ↑,
77', Duah K. ↓, Rwan Cruz ↑,
78', Stanic P. ↓, Chochev I. ↑,
78', O'Dowda C. 🟨,
80', Hogmo P. 🟨,
83', Son ↓, Andersson J. ↑,
84', Makreckis C. 🟨,
86', Dele ↓, Gruber Z. ↑,

Preview

First leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ludogorets won 0.

Ludogorets is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In recent matches, Ferencvárosi has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Ludogorets: Bile E. (Inactive) Camara A. (Surgery) Machado M. (Inactive) Tissera M. (Inactive)

There will not play in Ferencvárosi: Acolatse E. (Inactive) Corbu M. (Inactive) Gartenmann S. (Injury) Kajan N. (Inactive) Osvath A. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Ferencvárosi: Dibusz D. (Inactive)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Ludogorets won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:18. (average 1:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Ludogorets won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).

Outrights of UEFA Europa League for now

Ferencvaros: 0.78%

Standings

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Ferencvaros	1	1	0	0	3:1	2	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ludogorets Razgrad
Bulgarian Parva Liga
15.02.26	Ludogorets Razgrad - Beroe Stara Zagora	2:1 ✺
Bulgarian Cup
11.02.26	Ludogorets Razgrad - Levski Sofia	1:0 ✺
Bulgarian Parva Liga
07.02.26	Lokomotiv Sofia - Ludogorets Razgrad	1:3 ✺
Bulgarian Super Cup
03.02.26	Levski Sofia - Ludogorets Razgrad	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
29.01.26	Ludogorets Razgrad - Nice	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 WWWWW
- Ferencvárosi TC
Hungarian NB I
14.02.26	Zalaegerszegi TE - Ferencvárosi	3:1 ✺
Hungarian Cup
11.02.26	Ferencvárosi - Csákvári	4:0 ✺
Hungarian NB I
07.02.26	Ferencvárosi - Ujpest	3:0 ✺
01.02.26	Paksi SE - Ferencvárosi	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
29.01.26	Nottingham Forest - Ferencvárosi	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
06.11.25	Ferencvárosi - Ludogorets Razgrad	3:1
UEFA Champions League
12.08.25	Ferencvárosi - Ludogorets Razgrad	3:0
06.08.25	Ludogorets Razgrad - Ferencvárosi	0:0
Club Friendly
25.06.22	Ferencvárosi - Ludogorets Razgrad	3:0
23.06.21	Ferencvárosi - Ludogorets Razgrad	3:1
UEFA Europa League
12.12.19	Ludogorets Razgrad - Ferencvárosi	1:1
03.10.19	Ferencvárosi - Ludogorets Razgrad	0:3

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