Match Info

Europa League - League phase - Round 8

Date: 29 January 2026, Thursday

Location: Huvepharma Arena (Razgrad)

Referee: Berka O. (Cze)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 8, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 6
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1
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Malaysia	beIN Connect
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Vietnam	ON Plus
World	VIX App


	Ludogorets Razgrad		Nice

	1	X	2
	1.7	4.1	4.5
	1.95	3.75	3.6
	1.75	4.05	4.55
	1.74	4.09	4.71
	1.68	4.23	4.65	Watch
	1.7	3.75	4.33
	1.74	4.19	4.6
	1.66	4.2	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (3.88)	4.05 ↑ (3.64)	4.46 ↑ (1.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ludogorets Razgrad
54.9%

Draw
23.6%

Nice
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.7%

26.3%

48.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.9%

27.2%

50.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ludogorets Razgrad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+30.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ludogorets Razgrad's performance.

Nice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-27.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nice might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ludogorets Razgrad than the current prediction. (-31%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ludogorets Razgrad that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nice than the current prediction. (+29.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nice could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80.7%	10.8%	8.4%

Ludogorets Razgrad - Nice Predictions

Users Predictions: 83 users predict this event. Ludogorets will win (votes: 67 - 80.7%). Nice will win (votes: 7 - 8.4%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 10.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ludogorets: 72.2% – 89.2%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 5 - 71.4%) .

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 9 - 90%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

AH +0.5 - Nice (2.15) (votes: 4 - 66.7%) .

O/U 3 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Ludogorets (2.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Nice (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Ludogorets Razgrad will win (39 of 47 users predict this - 82.98%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 55 Selected Experts predict this event. Ludogorets (votes: 42 - 76.4%). Nice (votes: 10 - 18.2%). Tie (votes: 3 - 5.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
39. Bonmann H. (G) 17. Son 24. Verdon O. 4. Almeida D. 3. Nedyalkov A. (C) 30. Pedro Naressi 23. Duarte D. 14. Stanic P. 77. Erick Marcus 29. Bile E. 11. Caio Vidal	80. Diouf Y. (G) 20. Louchet T. 33. Mendy A. 28. Bah J. 36. Mantsounga B. 39. Coulibaly D. 22. Ndombele T. (C) 41. Pereira E. 47. Gouveia T. 90. Kevin 21. Jansson I.
Substitutes
2. Andersson J. 18. Chochev I. 67. Hristov D. (G) 99. Ivanov S. 26. Kaloc F. 10. Machado M. 55. Nachmias I. 1. Padt S. (G) 42. Shishkov S. 37. Tekpetey B.	99. Abdul Samed S. 52. Ali K. 32. Boudache K. 45. Brignone M. 50. Bruyere T. (G) 48. Monteiro L. 53. Sofikitis Y. 43. Youssouf M. 30. Zelazowski B. (G)
Coaches
Hogmo P.	Puel C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', Almeida D. 🟨,
42', 1 - 0, Stanic P. ⚽, Caio Vidal (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Gouveia T. ↓, Boudache K. ↑,
46', Coulibaly D. ↓, Abdul Samed S. ↑,
66', Bile E. ↓, Chochev I. ↑,
66', Jansson I. ↓, Brignone M. ↑,
79', Ndombele T. ↓, Ali K. ↑,
79', Mendy A. ↓, Youssouf M. ↑,
80', Erick Marcus ↓, Tekpetey B. ↑,
80', Caio Vidal ↓, Andersson J. ↑,
87', Mantsounga B. 🟨,
90+1', Stanic P. ↓, Kaloc F. ↑,
90+4', Boudache K. 🟨,

Preview

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Nice may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Ludogorets has had a series of away games.

In this match, Ludogorets is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Ludogorets: Camara A. (Surgery) Rwan Cruz (Inactive) Tissera M. (Inactive) Vinicius Nogueira (Inactive)

There will not play in Nice: Abdelmonem M. (Knee Injury) Boga J. (Injury) Bombito M. (Leg Injury) Moffi T. (Injury) Ndayishimiye Y. (Knee Injury) Vanhoutte C. (Yellow Cards) Wahi E. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Nice: Bard M. (Groin Injury) Boudaoui H. (Inactive) Jansson I. (Illness)

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ludogorets Razgrad
UEFA Europa League
22.01.26	Glasgow Rangers - Ludogorets Razgrad	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
14.01.26	Raków Częstochowa - Ludogorets Razgrad	2:2 ✺
11.01.26	Paksi SE - Ludogorets Razgrad	2:3 ✺
Bulgarian Parva Liga
19.12.25	Beroe Stara Zagora - Ludogorets Razgrad	0:4 ✺
Bulgarian Cup
15.12.25	Septemvri Sofia - Ludogorets Razgrad	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LTWWW
- OGC Nice
French Ligue 1
25.01.26	Nantes - Nice	1:4 ✺
UEFA Europa League
22.01.26	Nice - Go Ahead Eagles	3:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
17.01.26	Toulouse - Nice	5:1 ✺
Coupe De France
11.01.26	Nantes - Nice	1:2 penalties ✺
French Ligue 1
03.01.26	Nice - Strasbourg	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWLWT

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