Match Info

Kategoria e Parë - Round 22

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Skënderbeu Stadium (Korçë)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+


	Skënderbeu Korçë		Apolonia Fier

	1	X	2
	1.36	3.95	8.1
	1.29	4.46	9.11
	2.03	3.49	3.19	Watch
	1.33	4	9
	1.32	4.3	8.9
	1.35	3.8	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↑ (1.35)	4 ↓ (4.23)	7.72 ↓ (8.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Skënderbeu Korçë
64.6%

Draw
23.3%

Apolonia Fier
12.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.4%

21.5%

11.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71%

20.4%

10.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Skënderbeu Korçë has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Apolonia Fier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Skënderbeu Korçë than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Skënderbeu Korçë, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Apolonia Fier than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Skënderbeu Korçë - Apolonia Fier Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Skënderbeu (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, ⚽,
29', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
61', 2 - 1, ⚽,
79', 3 - 1, ⚽,
89', 3 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Abissnet Superiore and 9 in the zone Kategoria e Paru00eb (Relegation)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Skënderbeu won 4.

Recent performances by Skënderbeu have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Apolonia has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Skënderbeu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Skënderbeu is the clear favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Skënderbeu won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:4. (average 1.6:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Skënderbeu won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 2:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Skënderbeu Korçë
Albanian First Division
07.02.26	Korabi Peshkopi - Skënderbeu Korçë	0:0 ✺
30.01.26	Skënderbeu Korçë - Kastrioti	2:1 ✺
24.01.26	Besa Kavajë - Skënderbeu Korçë	2:3 ✺
17.01.26	Skënderbeu Korçë - Luftëtari Gjirokastër	1:1 ✺
Albanian Cup
10.01.26	Tirana - Skënderbeu Korçë	2:1 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TWWTL
- Apolonia Fier
Albanian First Division
07.02.26	Apolonia Fier - Pogradeci	2:2 ✺
31.01.26	Iliria - Apolonia Fier	2:0 ✺
25.01.26	Apolonia Fier - Lushnja	0:0 ✺
17.01.26	Burreli - Apolonia Fier	2:0 ✺
Albanian Cup
10.01.26	Egnatia Rrogozhinë - Apolonia Fier	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Albanian First Division
09.11.25	Apolonia Fier - Skënderbeu Korçë	2:3
31.03.23	Skënderbeu Korçë - Apolonia Fier	4:1
04.12.22	Apolonia Fier - Skënderbeu Korçë	0:1
Albanian Super League
17.05.21	Skënderbeu Korçë - Apolonia Fier	2:0
24.01.21	Skënderbeu Korçë - Apolonia Fier	1:1
18.04.15	Skënderbeu Korçë - Apolonia Fier	1:0
14.02.15	Apolonia Fier - Skënderbeu Korçë	0:1

Skënderbeu Korçë - Apolonia Fier: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide