Match Info

Kategoria e Parë - Round 22

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+


	Luftëtari Gjirokastër		Kastrioti

	1	X	2
	2.63	2.98	2.49
	2.66	3.06	2.52	Watch
	2.63	3	2.45
	2.7	3	2.55
	2.6	2.9	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↑ (2.24)	2.99 ↓ (3.28)	2.5 ↓ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Luftëtari Gjirokastër
34%

Draw
30.1%

Kastrioti
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.3%

27.5%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1%

28.8%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luftëtari Gjirokastër has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Luftëtari Gjirokastër's form might have worsened.

Kastrioti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luftëtari Gjirokastër than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Luftëtari Gjirokastër, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kastrioti than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kastrioti, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Luftëtari Gjirokastër - Kastrioti Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Cereni M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
54', 1 - 1, ⚽,
57', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 11 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Abissnet Superiore (Promotion: )).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Luftëtari may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Luftëtari won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 1:2.3).

Including home match between the teams, Luftëtari won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:5.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Kastrioti	4	1	2	1	5:5	0	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luftëtari Gjirokastër
Albanian First Division
08.02.26	Besa Kavajë - Luftëtari Gjirokastër	1:1 ✺
31.01.26	Laçi - Luftëtari Gjirokastër	1:0 ✺
24.01.26	Luftëtari Gjirokastër - Kukësi	3:1 ✺
17.01.26	Skënderbeu Korçë - Luftëtari Gjirokastër	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	Luftëtari Gjirokastër - Pogradeci	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 TLWTL
- Kastrioti
Albanian First Division
07.02.26	Kastrioti - Kukësi	2:1 ✺
30.01.26	Skënderbeu Korçë - Kastrioti	2:1 ✺
24.01.26	Kastrioti - Pogradeci	2:4 ✺
17.01.26	Iliria - Kastrioti	0:1 ✺
20.12.25	Kastrioti - Lushnja	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Albanian First Division
08.11.25	Kastrioti - Luftëtari Gjirokastër	3:1
Albanian Super League
10.04.19	Kastrioti - Luftëtari Gjirokastër	1:0
27.01.19	Luftëtari Gjirokastër - Kastrioti	1:5
28.10.18	Kastrioti - Luftëtari Gjirokastër	0:2

Luftëtari Gjirokastër - Kastrioti: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide