Match Info

Primera C - Round 30

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Deportivo Paraguayo		Lugano

	1	X	2
	3.50	2.85	2.10
	3.50	2.90	1.98
	3.62	2.84	2.11
	3.53	2.95	2.12	Watch
	3.50	2.80	2.06
	3.74	2.91	2.18
	3.60	2.80	2.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.57 ↑ (3.25)	2.86 ↓ (2.88)	2.09 ↓ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Paraguayo
25.3%

Draw
31.5%

Lugano
43.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.2%

30.7%

42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.8%

29.2%

44.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Paraguayo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Lugano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Paraguayo than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Deportivo Paraguayo - Lugano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
1', 0 - 1, Benardoni M. ⚽,
5', 1 - 1, Pellegrino F. ⚽,
32', Benardoni M. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Paraguayo won 2.

Currently, both sides are showing commendable stability on the pitch.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Lugano holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Deportivo Paraguayo has recorded 2 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 7:8 (averaging 0.7:0.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Deportivo Paraguayo against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with 3:6 goals (averaging 0.6:1.2 per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Deportivo Paraguayo - the odds 3.25 are the expected chance of winning is 27.2%, but this team recently wins 17% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Paraguayo
Argentinian Primera C
20.09.26	Puerto Nuevo - Deportivo Paraguayo	2:3 ✺
12.09.26	Club Luján - Deportivo Paraguayo	3:0 ✺
06.09.26	Deportivo Paraguayo - Leandro N. Alem	4:1 ✺
29.08.26	Defensores de Cambaceres - Deportivo Paraguayo	0:0 ✺
22.08.26	Deportivo Paraguayo - Juventud Unida de San Miguel	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 WLWTW
- CA Lugano
Argentinian Primera C
20.09.26	Lugano - Estrella del Sur	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	Lugano - Leones de Rosario	0:0 ✺
06.09.26	Puerto Nuevo - Lugano	0:1 ✺
31.08.26	Lugano - Berazategui	1:1 ✺
22.08.26	Leandro N. Alem - Lugano	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 TTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera C
30.05.26	Lugano - Deportivo Paraguayo	0:0
24.08.24	Deportivo Paraguayo - Lugano	1:2
27.03.24	Lugano - Deportivo Paraguayo	0:1
Argentinian Primera D
17.09.23	Lugano - Deportivo Paraguayo	0:2
12.06.23	Deportivo Paraguayo - Lugano	1:1
25.03.23	Deportivo Paraguayo - Lugano	0:1
03.09.22	Lugano - Deportivo Paraguayo	1:0

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