Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 3

Date: 26 October 2023, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Belgium	18:45	RTBF
Finland	19:45	Viaplay
Norway	18:45	Viaplay
Poland	18:45	Viaplay
Sweden	18:45	Viaplay


	Lugano		Club Brugge

	1	X	2
	4	3.8	1.85
	3.7	3.7	1.8
	3.75	3.75	1.85	Watch
	4.02	3.97	1.88
	4.03	3.97	1.87
	3.5	3.6	1.85
	3.9	3.9	1.82
	3.95	4	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.86 ↑ (3.18)	3.84 ↑ (3.55)	1.85 ↓ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lugano
24.4%

Draw
24.6%

Club Brugge
51%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

29.4%

26.4%

44.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1%

26.7%

44.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lugano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Club Brugge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Club Brugge's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Club Brugge than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Club Brugge, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.9%	17.2%	75.9%

Lugano - Club Brugge Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Lugano will win (votes: 2 - 6.9%). Brugge will win (votes: 22 - 75.9%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 17.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brugge: 60.3% – 91.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Saipi A. (G) 6. Espinoza J. 17. Mai L. 4. Hajrizi K. 34. Arigoni A. 25. Bislimi U. 16. Grgic A. 14. Sabbatini J. (C) 11. Steffen R. 9. Celar Z. 10. Bottani M.	22. Mignolet S. (G) 17. Buchanan T. 44. Mechele B. 58. Spileers J. 14. Meijer B. 39. Balanta E. 20. Vanaken H. (C) 27. Nielsen C. 7. Skov Olsen A. 99. Thiago I. 77. Zinckernagel P.
Substitutes
27. Babic B. 21. Cimignani Y. 90. Deana S. (G) 22. El Wafi A. 29. Hadj M. 5. Hajdari A. 7. Macek R. 26. Marques M. 99. Mina D. (G) 19. Vladi S.	55. De Cuyper M. 29. Jackers N. (G) 9. Jutgla F. 32. Nusa A. 6. Odoi D. 15. Onyedika R. 4. Ordonez J. 8. Skoras M. 10. Vetlesen H.
Coaches
Croci-Torti M.	Deila R.

Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Brugge is a favorite.

There will not play in Lugano: Mahou H. (Injury) Osigwe S. (Injury) Valenzuela M. (Injury)

There will not play in Brugge: Boyata D. (Injury) Odoi D. (Injury) Sabbe K. (Injury) Skoras M. (Injury)

There are questionable in Brugge: Bursik J. (Knee Injury) Talbi C. (Knee Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Lugano
Swiss Super League
22.10.23	Grasshoppers - Lugano	2:1 ✺
08.10.23	Lugano - Servette	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
05.10.23	Beşiktaş - Lugano	2:3 ✺
Swiss Super League
30.09.23	Winterthur - Lugano	2:3 ✺
27.09.23	Lugano - Lausanne-Sport	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20 LLWWW
- Club Brugge
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
21.10.23	Kortrijk - Club Brugge	1:0 ✺
08.10.23	Standard Liège - Club Brugge	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
05.10.23	Bodø Glimt - Club Brugge	0:1 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
01.10.23	Club Brugge - Sint-Truidense	1:1 ✺
28.09.23	Club Brugge - Genk	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLWTT

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Lugano
Swiss Super League
01.11.26	Lugano - Basel	✺
- Club Brugge
UEFA Champions League
04.11.26	PSV Eindhoven - Club Brugge	✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
30.10.26	Zulte Waregem - Club Brugge	✺

Lugano - Club Brugge