Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 23 July 2026, Thursday

Location: AIL Arena (Lugano)

Referee: Shimusik V. (Blr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Switzerland	RSI La 2, SRF Play, SRF Play
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	OneFootball TV


	Lugano		Dukagjini

	1	X	2
	1.18	6.25	15.00	Watch
	1.17	7.00	12.50
	1.16	6.75	15.00	Watch
	1.13	8.20	23.07
	1.14	7.87	14.75	Watch
	1.09	8.10	22.00
	1.17	6.65	14.40	Watch
	1.16	6.60	14.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.15 ↓ (1.17)	7.18 ↑ (6.05)	16.34 ↑ (13.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lugano
81.3%

Draw
13%

Dukagjini
5.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

78.3%

15.1%

6.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lugano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Dukagjini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.9%	7.1%	0%

Lugano - Dukagjini Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Lugano will win (votes: 13 - 92.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lugano: 79.4% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Lugano (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Lugano (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Lugano (votes: 3 - 75%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. von Ballmoos D. (G) 46. Zanotti M. 6. Papadopoulos A. 17. Mai L. 7. Alioski E. 8. Grgic A. 25. Bislimi U. 27. Dos Santos D. 11. Steffen R. (C) 21. Cimignani Y. 91. Behrens K.	1. Lekaj E. (G) 77. Vitor Hugo 14. Sinani E. 5. Basri E. (C) 44. Bardhoku T. 23. Zulfiu I. 47. Isufi D. 8. Gashi K. 10. Merlaku A. 17. Pefqeli M. 99. Stevenson J.
Substitutes
23. Ajdin G. 18. Bichsel J. 22. Castro Espinosa B. D. 28. Gebhardt F. (G) 4. Kelvin D. 14. Kendouci A. 30. Moncada D. 39. Ndiaye C. (G) 24. Pihlstrom E. 32. Puddu N.	22. Bytyqi A. 7. Elezaj G. 16. Haxhihamza K. (G) 27. Hoti V. 2. Hyseni D. 88. Krasniqi E. 33. Luan 98. Maliqi M. 6. Rexhaj A. 66. Sylejmani E. 9. Thaci K. 3. Zenunaj M.
Coaches
Croci-Torti M.	Thaqi A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', Zanotti M. 🟨,
31', 1 - 0, Steffen R. ⚽, Behrens K. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Zulfiu I. ↓, Elezaj G. ↑,
49', Basri E. 🟨,
68', Merlaku A. ↓, Maliqi M. ↑,
68', Alioski E. ↓, Moncada D. ↑,
79', Elezaj G. 🟨,
79', Dos Santos D. ↓, Kendouci A. ↑,
80', Behrens K. ↓, Bichsel J. ↑,
80', Gashi K. ↓, Rexhaj A. ↑,
83', Behrens K. 🟨,
87', Rexhaj A. 🟥,
88', Stevenson J. ↓, Bytyqi A. ↑,
89', Cimignani Y. ↓, Pihlstrom E. ↑,

Preview

First leg.

Lugano is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Dukagjini may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Lugano is the undeniable favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Outrights of UEFA Europa Conference League for now

Lugano: 1.49%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Lugano
Club Friendly
17.07.26	Lugano - Vaduz	1:2 ✺
10.07.26	Heidenheim - Lugano	0:1 ✺
07.07.26	Memmingen - Lugano	0:4 ✺
04.07.26	Lugano - Rapperswil-Jona	1:1 ✺
27.06.26	Lugano - Neuchâtel Xamax	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LWWTW
- KF Dukagjini
Club Friendly
09.07.26	Beitar Jerusalem - Dukagjini	1:0 ✺
Kosovo Superliga
31.05.26	Dukagjini - Ballkani	1:0 ✺
24.05.26	Prishtina e Re - Dukagjini	2:3 ✺
Kosovo Cup
21.05.26	Ferizaj - Dukagjini	1:2 ✺
Kosovo Superliga
17.05.26	Dukagjini - Drita Gjilan	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 LWWWW

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