Match Info
Date: 4 August 2022, ThursdayLocation: Stadio di Cornaredo (Lugano)Referee: Fabbri M. (Ita)
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 |
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 |
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Lugano |
|
Hapoel Beer Sheva |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.95 |
3.5 |
3.4 |
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 |
2 |
3.4 |
3.5 |
|
 |
2.02 |
3.5 |
3.45 |
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 |
2.01 |
3.45 |
3.45 |
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 |
2.1 |
3.52 |
3.5 |
|
 |
1.99 |
3.46 |
3.46 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.01 ↑
(1.77) |
3.47 ↓
(3.7) |
3.46 ↓
(4.2) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Lugano
46.3% | Draw
26.8% | Hapoel Beer Sheva
26.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lugano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lugano's form might have worsened.Hapoel Beer Sheva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (+9.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lugano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Beer Sheva than the current prediction. (-5.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hapoel Beer Sheva, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Predictions
Users Predictions:
41 users predict this event. Lugano will win (votes: 12 - 29.3%). Hapoel Beer Sheva will win (votes: 27 - 65.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 4.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hapoel Beer Sheva: 51.4% โ 80.4%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Preview
1st leg. Two teams are playing changeable. Recently Hapoel Beer Sheva have a series of guest games. Lugano will have a mini benefit in this match.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Lugano won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2. Including matches at home between the teams Lugano won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| UEFA Europa League | | | 23.11.17 | Lugano - Hapoel Beer Sheva | 1:0 | | 14.09.17 | Hapoel Beer Sheva - Lugano | 2:1 |
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