Match Info

Premier League - Round 21

Date: 28 March 2025, Friday

Location: Lugazi FC Stadium (Najjembe)


	Lugazi Municipal		Maroons

	1	X	2
	2.27	2.85	3.25
				Watch
	2.39	2.73	3.38
	2.27	2.85	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↓ (2.7)	2.81 ↓ (2.84)	3.29 ↑ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lugazi Municipal
39.6%

Draw
32.6%

Maroons
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.6%

31.9%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4%

32.1%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lugazi Municipal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lugazi Municipal's performance.

Maroons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Maroons might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugazi Municipal than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lugazi Municipal that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maroons than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Maroons could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lugazi Municipal - Maroons Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Mutebi J. (G) 24. Ayiko R. (C) 6. Bayo A. 16. Kalanzi A. 8. Mwanje D. 3. Obua E. 4. Othieno J. 12. Saaka S. 19. Ssemugugu S. 5. Ssenoga H. 17. Wasswa P.	24. Tamale S. (G) 23. Basoga D. 20. Eturude A. 2. Kabona E. (C) 16. Kiwanuka R. 14. Mawejje M. 19. Nkuubi B. 5. Odipio N. 7. Ogama M. 15. Onegi B. 17. Walugembe R.
Substitutes
18. Amanya I. 13. Avemah S. 25. Birungi A. 1. Fahad E. (G) 15. Lutakome J. 9. Mugwa B. 27. Mungudit F. 22. Norman L. 21. Rogers A.	25. Asaba I. 4. Kagogwe A. 3. Kigozi F. 11. Kirya A. 21. Kitagenda G. 10. Mayanja I. 18. Muyomba M. (G) 1. Nalugoda A. (G) 6. Okot F. 28. Omirambe B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
19', 0 - 1, Eturude A. ⚽,
29', Walugembe R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 10 and 8).

Recent matches Lugazi is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Maroons is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Maroons could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Lugazi won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lugazi Municipal FC
Ugandan Cup
18.03.25	Lugazi Municipal - Villa	0:1 ✺
Ugandan Super League
13.03.25	Mbale Heroes - Lugazi Municipal	1:3 ✺
06.03.25	Lugazi Municipal - Express	1:0 ✺
01.03.25	NEC FC - Lugazi Municipal	2:0 ✺
16.02.25	Lugazi Municipal - Wakiso Giants	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWWLW
- Maroons FC
Ugandan Cup
17.03.25	Maroons - Police	0:1 ✺
Ugandan Super League
14.03.25	Maroons - NEC FC	1:3 ✺
09.03.25	Villa - Maroons	0:2 ✺
02.03.25	Maroons - Kampala City Council	0:0 ✺
15.02.25	Uganda Revenue Authority SC - Maroons	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Ugandan Super League
06.10.24	Maroons - Lugazi Municipal	1:0

Lugazi Municipal - Maroons: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide