Match Info

Premier League - Round 2

Date: 1 September 2026, Tuesday

Location: MTN Omondi Stadium (Bugoloobi)


	NEC FC		Lugazi Municipal

	1	X	2
	1.49	3.60	5.50
	1.63	3.00	7.93
	1.61	2.65	7.85
	1.62	2.95	6.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↑ (1.51)	3.05 ↓ (3.5)	7.04 ↑ (6.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

NEC FC
57.3%

Draw
29.8%

Lugazi Municipal
12.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.9%

25.8%

14.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

NEC FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Lugazi Municipal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 1)
52', 1 - 0, Basangwa R. ⚽,
57', 2 - 0, Media I. ⚽,
81', 3 - 0, Media I. ⚽,
84', 3 - 1, Ayiko R. ⚽,

Preview

NEC may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, NEC is the clear favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NEC won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:1. (average 1.4:0.2).

Including home matches between the teams, NEC won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0. (average 1.7:0).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	NEC FC	4	3	1	0	9:2	7	10
8	Lugazi	5	2	0	3	4:9	-5	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NEC FC
Ugandan Super League
29.08.26	Kampala City Council - NEC FC	0:2 ✺
20.05.26	NEC FC - Villa	1:4 ✺
09.05.26	Kitara - NEC FC	0:1 ✺
28.04.26	Bul - NEC FC	0:1 ✺
24.04.26	NEC FC - Mbarara City	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.4 WLWWT
- Lugazi Municipal FC
Ugandan Super League
19.05.26	Express - Lugazi Municipal	0:0 ✺
12.05.26	Bul - Lugazi Municipal	0:0 ✺
06.05.26	Lugazi Municipal - Mbarara City	0:1 ✺
29.04.26	Buhimba United Saints - Lugazi Municipal	0:2 ✺
25.04.26	Lugazi Municipal - Kitara	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 TTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Ugandan Cup
17.03.26	NEC FC - Lugazi Municipal	2:0
Ugandan Super League
06.03.26	Lugazi Municipal - NEC FC	0:2
07.01.26	NEC FC - Lugazi Municipal	1:0
01.03.25	NEC FC - Lugazi Municipal	2:0
30.10.24	Lugazi Municipal - NEC FC	1:0

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