Match Info

Premier League - Round 11

Date: 17 December 2025, Wednesday

Location: Lugazi FC Stadium (Najjembe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Uganda	Sanyuka TV


	Lugazi Municipal		Vipers

	1	X	2
	6.5	3.7	1.45
	6.54	4.09	1.41
	7.5	3.7	1.4
	5.87	4.29	1.48
	6.33	3.5	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.55 ↓ (7.9)	3.86 ↓ (4)	1.44 ↑ (1.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lugazi Municipal
13.8%

Draw
23.4%

Vipers
62.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.4%

22.6%

66%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.1%

22%

67.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lugazi Municipal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Vipers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugazi Municipal than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vipers than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Lugazi Municipal - Vipers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Usama A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
74', 0 - 2, Sentamu Y. ⚽,
89', 1 - 2, Mulindi A. ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )).

In recent matches, Lugazi has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Vipers is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Lugazi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Vipers is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Lugazi won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1. (average 0:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Lugazi won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lugazi Municipal FC
Ugandan Super League
10.12.25	Lugazi Municipal - Police	1:1 ✺
05.12.25	UPDF - Lugazi Municipal	2:0 ✺
25.11.25	Maroons - Lugazi Municipal	3:0 ✺
20.11.25	Lugazi Municipal - Express	0:0 ✺
08.11.25	Lugazi Municipal - Buhimba United Saints	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TLLTW
- Vipers SC
Ugandan Super League
13.12.25	Vipers - Bul	3:1 ✺
09.12.25	Calvary - Vipers	0:0 ✺
05.12.25	NEC FC - Vipers	1:1 ✺
02.12.25	Vipers - UPDF	5:1 ✺
29.11.25	Vipers - Villa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Ugandan Super League
03.04.25	Vipers - Lugazi Municipal	1:0
26.09.24	Lugazi Municipal - Vipers	0:0

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