The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+
Current Win Probability
Lugo 29.5%
Draw 31.4%
Almería 39.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
16.1%
25.2%
58.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
13.4%
21%
70.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lugo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lugo's performance.
Almería has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Almería might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugo than the current prediction. (-16.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lugo that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almería than the current prediction. (+31.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Almería could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
10.4%
22.6%
67%
Lugo - Almería Predictions
Users Predictions:
115 users predict this event. Lugo will win (votes: 12 - 10.4%). Almería will win (votes: 77 - 67%). It will Tie (votes: 26 - 22.6%). Confidence interval (95%) for Almería: 58.4% – 75.6%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
#ad
Preview
Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 15 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga).
Lugo has the most likely position - 17 (8.83%), has project points - 52, has currently - 27, has a small chance of relegated (14%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (5%), has a very small chance of promoted (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Almería has the most likely position - 1 (54.35%), has project points - 81, has currently - 46, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (20%), has a good chance of promoted (82%), has a good chance of win league (54%).
Both teams are now playing unstable.
Almería could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Almería will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 15 head-to-head matches Lugo won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 15-22.
Including matches at home between the teams Lugo won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10-16.
Watch
#ad
Get 100% up to 500 SEK + 100 Free spins
Betting Bonus up to 1 000 EUR + 250 EUR free bet !
